Coin Rarities & Related Topics: Prize silver dollars in the Hesselgesser Collection, plus advice for beginners

By Greg Reynolds on June 2, 2011 4:38 PM

News and Analysis on scarce coins, coin markets, and the coin collecting community #55

A Weekly Column by Greg Reynolds

Dr. Robert Hesselgesser assembled one of the all-time most complete collections of regular issue, bust silver dollars. On Monday, May 30th, the firm of the Goldbergs auctioned Hesselgesser’s set of bust silver dollars at the Beverly Hills Crowne Plaza Hotel.

Business strike bust dollars date from 1794 to 1803. A few Proofs, including 1804 dollars, were minted much later, though these are a different topic. Proof bust dollars could not have been produced before 1834. Starting in 1794, bust dollars were made for circulation. Indeed, 1794 silver dollars are among the most famous and sought after of all U.S. coins.

Hesselgesser’s 1794 dollar is tentatively reported to have realized $575,000, though this amount is not confirmed, as of my deadline for this column. Regardless of whether it sold for $575,000 or not, this coin is terrific looking, is traditionally famous, is historically important, and is ‘in the news.’

A $575,000 price would not be surprising for a PCGS graded AU-58 1794 dollar, with a CAC sticker of approval. It would be a fair price in the current market climate. The most surprising result in this auction was the sale of Dr. Hesselgesser’s AU-58 1798 Small Eagle dollar for an astonishing price of $356,500! I have confirmed this price with the buyer.

I. A Set of Bust Dollars

According to the PCGS Registry, Dr. Hesselgesser’s bust dollar “collection contains 107 of the known 118 varieties, many of which are the finest known.” Additionally, Dr. Hesselgesser’s collection is the second “All-Time Finest Basic Set” of bust dollars and, before May 30th, it was the first “current finest – Basic Set.” For the PCGS “Early Dollars with Major Varieties and Silver Plug” set, likewise, Dr. Hesselgesser’s set is the second “All-Time Finest,” behind the Cardinal Collection, and, until now, the first “Current Finest.” The bust dollar collection of the Cardinal Educational Foundation was auctioned by ANR on June 30, 2005, in New York City. I covered that event for Numismatic News, a weekly newspaper.

Martin Logies is the founder and curator of the Cardinal Educational Foundation, which attained nationwide fame about a year ago. This foundation acquired the Neil-Carter-Lustig-Knoxville-Contursi 1794 dollar for a reported price of “$7.85 million.”

In the PCGS Registry categories that pertain to comprehensive sets of die varieties of bust dollars, Hesselgesser is the only entrant. It is very difficult to collect bust dollars by die variety and I would not suggest even attempting to do so. A simple set of widely recognized issues is a sensible goal. I object to the PCGS usage of the term ‘Basic Set.’ A set of widely recognized varieties of bust dollars, those that are distinct dates or those that are collected ‘as if’ they are distinct dates, is an intermediate to advanced, not a ‘basic,’ undertaking, in my opinion.

Flowing Hair bust silver dollars were minted for only two years, 1794 and 1795. Some Draped Bust silver dollars also bear the ‘date’ 1795. There are four dates of Draped Bust obverse (front), Small Eagle (reverse) silver dollars, 1795, 1796, 1797, and 1798. From 1798 to 1803, Draped Bust silver dollars were produced with a Heraldic Eagle reverse (back design), which is also called the ‘Large Eagle’ reverse design.

Yes, silver dollars may have been produced in 1804. If so, these were dated 1803. The silver dollars that are dated “1804” could not have been minted before 1834 and really constitute a different topic. Please see my recent column on coins that are worth more than $2 million and my column last summer on a Proof 1804 Eagle. (As always, clickable links are in blue.)

As some die varieties of bust dollars are very rare overall, and many varieties are very rare in high grades, Hesselgesser’s set was amazing in that so many of his scarce-variety silver dollars grade from AU-50 to MS-64. Die varieties, however, are often complicated. A magnifying glass, and a significant amount of time, is needed to understand many particular die varieties.

Collectors considering a collection of bust dollars should keep in mind that only three coins are needed for a type set. A 1794 or ’95 Flowing Hair dollar, a (1795 to ’98) Draped Bust Dollar with a Small Eagle reverse (back), and a (1798 to 1803) Draped Bust Dollar with a Heraldic Eagle reverse. After obtaining representatives of these three types, a collector may feel the urge to complete a set of bust dollars.

II. Hesselgesser 1794 dollar

The silver dollars of 1794 have become legendary. This was the first year that the U.S. Mint produced silver dollars. Logies estimates that around one hundred and forty 1794 dollars survive. Other estimates have ranged from one hundred and twenty-five to one hundred and seventy-five. I doubt that there exist more than one hundred and fifty.

According to Logies, the Connecticut-Cardinal-Hesselgesser 1794 dollar is the ninth finest known 1794 dollar. From 1926 to 1983, it resided in the Connecticut Historical Society. It was then auctioned by the firm of Bowers & Merena. I believe that it was on display at the Superior Galleries table during the 2004 ANA Convention in Pittsburgh. By that time, it had been in the Cardinal Collection for a while. It was offered on Jan. 11 2005 in a Superior Galleries auction in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. I then had the opportunity to carefully examine it. I was very impressed.

In 2005, I noted that this 1794 dollar has a very pleasing look with definitely natural, even toning. Brownish russet and tan shades are neatly balanced by soft gray hues, along with patches of green and greenish-blue colors. There are a few light hairlines, which are barely noticeable. Overall, this 1794 dollar is more than very attractive.

In Dec. 2005, the Connecticut-Cardinal 1794 was acquired by Robert Hesselgesser, M.D., who was then best known as a famous collector of British and Russian coins. Since 2008, Hesselgesser’s set of bust dollars has been on display at several major coin conventions.

I have seen seven of the nine 1794 dollars that grade AU-58 or higher. I have a clear recollection of six of them. I have never seen the Jimmy Hayes 1794, which has been graded MS-66 by both the NGC and the PCGS. I have heard a lot about it from experts who have seen it. Also, I have never seen the Willing 1794, which is, or was, NGC graded MS-60, according to Martin Logies.

I wonder if the Hesselgesser 1794 ranks higher than the ninth place that it is assigned by Logies in his condition ranking in 2004. It is certainly more attractive than the Earle-Atwater-Bass 1794, which is currently certified as grading “MS-61” or “MS-62” and may not be truly uncirculated. It was said to grade “AU-58 to MS-60” when offered by B&M in the Bass I sale in 1999.

Yes, the Hesselgesser piece has more U.S. Mint caused imperfections than the Earle-Bass and Willing 1794 dollars. When round blanks contained too much silver, that is exceeded specifications relating to weight and silver content, U.S. Mint employees ‘adjusted’ them by scraping metal off until the weight of the blanks was in compliance with the then prevailing standards. Evidently, the blank that was to become the Hesselgesser 1794 dollar weighed quite a bit more than it was supposed to weigh. So, there are numerous ‘adjustment marks’ as much metal was scraped off, with knifelike tools, prior to striking.

All 1794 dollars were struck with a coining press that was designed for smaller coins and did not fully strike the outer portions of each 1794 dollar. Therefore, adjustment marks near the borders are more likely to be pronounced on 1794 dollars than on other bust dollars. Adjustment marks became much less noticeable on silver dollars struck months or a few years later. Additional presses, which were better suited for dollar size coins, provided more forceful impressions of the design elements in the outer areas of bust dollars.

When I viewed the Hesselgesser 1794 dollar, the adjustment marks were not very bothersome to me. The attractiveness, blend and depth of this coin’s toning perhaps cannot be captured well with a camera and the adjustment marks are more noticeable in images than they are when the coin is seen in actuality.

Importantly, the Hesselgesser 1794 dollar does not exhibit any very apparent signs of ever having been dipped or ever having been moderately to heavily cleaned. Sure, there are a few hairlines. Almost all bust dollars have been at least lightly cleaned at one time or another. The surfaces of this coin are mostly original, though, and its toning is definitely natural. The Hesselgesser 1794 dollar probably has been properly stored for decades. It is a great coin.

III. 1798 Small Eagle

All 1798 silver dollars feature a Draped Bust obverse (front) design. There are 1798 dollars with the ‘Small Eagle’ reverse and 1798 dollars with the ‘Heraldic Eagle’ reverse. After the 1794, the 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ is the rarest ‘date’ in the series. In the field of coin collecting, the term ‘date’ is ambiguous. A coin’s ‘date’ does not only refer to a year; there may be two or more silver dollars of the same stated year that are collected as separate ‘dates’!

If the 1795 Flowing Hair Dollar, with two leaves rather than three leaves under the eagle’s wings, is collected as a separate date, it could be argued that it is relatively scarcer than the 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ dollar, in some grade ranges. There are, though, two different obverse (front) sub-designs of 1798 dollars with the ‘Small Eagle’ reverse, one with fifteen stars and one with thirteen stars.

If a collector chooses to acquire two leaves and three leaves varieties of 1795 Flowing Hair dollars, then the same collector would be logically compelled to seek at least two different varieties of 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ dollars as well, thirteen stars and fifteen stars obverses. The point here is that the 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ is very scarce, and relatively scarcer than all the other recognized ‘dates’ in the regular bust dollar series, except the 1794.

In Fine-12 grade, a 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ can be found for less than $5000. A nice AU-50 grade piece, however, may cost more than $25,000. In AU-58 and higher grades, only a few are known.

Dr. Hesselgesser had one of the best 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ dollars. Actually, he had more than one. I am referring here to the one, with thirteen stars, that is PCGS graded AU-58, and has a CAC sticker. It has great natural toning and pleasant surfaces.

Martin Logies is a widely recognized expert in die varieties and individual histories of bust dollars. Regarding the Hesselgesser 1798 with ‘Small Eagle’ reverse and thirteen stars obverse, Logies states:

“The level of quality of this coin is superb. In all likelihood, the coin never actually circulated. However, the combination of the high-point strike weakness (due to the heavily cracked, late state of the reverse die) and ‘cabinet friction’ gives the suggestion of wear. Nonetheless, the coin is far superior to those few other specimens of the variety that were also graded AU-58. I have closely examined the PCGS MS-61 specimen, and I do consider that coin to be somewhat finer than the Cardinal-Hesselgesser PCGS AU-58 coin. That particular coin realized $230,000 at auction a few years ago, while still in a PCGS AU-58 holder.”

A PCGS graded AU-58 1798 Small Eagle, thirteen stars dollar was auctioned by Heritage for this amount in August 2007. It must be the one to which Logies is referring.

Martin adds that the PCGS graded MS-61 1798 Small Eagle is firmly held in a private collection in the Southwest. I have additional reasons to believe that this is true.

In May 2011, the PCGS price guide values the “MS-61” 1798 ‘Small Eagle’ at “$140,000” and an AU-58 grade coin at a lower level. At Numismedia.com, Hesselgesser’s 1798 Small Eagle, with thirteen stars, is estimated to be worth “$169,000.”

Are the editors of the price guides aware that Heritage auctioned a PCGS graded AU-58 for $230,000 in 2007? Do they believe that demand for these has fallen considerably since 2007 or that this $230,000 result was an anomaly? I guessed that the AU-58, CAC approved, Cardinal-Hesselgesser 1798 Small Eagle, thirteen stars, would realize around $190,000 this week, $225,000 at most.

It is relevant that the Cardinal Educational Foundation, under Logies’ direction, also formerly owned the PCGS graded MS-62 1798 Small Eagle with fifteen stars. A collector bought it in 2005. “In early August 2010, the coin was re-submitted to PCGS and was re-graded as MS62+.” Martin adds that “the MS62 listing in the PCGS population report is a duplicate,” meaning the “MS-62” and “MS-62+” listings for the same coin.

Logies concludes that “there are only two PCGS certified ‘mint state’ 1798 Small Eagle dollars, and both are impounded in long-term collections. So, to the current collectors” participating in the auction of Hesselgesser’s dollars, “this AU-58 coin represented the single best 1798 Small Eagle dollar that would ever be available to them,” Martin declares.

Personally, I was stunned by the result, $356,500! Even Logies acknowledges that “$356,500 is a very substantial sum for such a coin”! Martin maintains, though, that, after this sale, “an offer of even $500,000 might not acquire a 1798 Small Eagle dollar of equal quality.”

The buyer of the Hesselgesser 1798 Small Eagle, thirteen stars, PCGS graded AU-58 bust dollar was not physically present at the auction. He is a sophisticated collector. I discussed his purchase with the buyer. This collector indicates that he is assembling a set of bust dollars. He does not wish for additional information about his purchases to be revealed at this time.

IV. 1795s with a Silver Plug

Dr. Hesselgesser had four 1795 Flowing Hair dollars that each contain a silver plug. As already discussed, when a blank was overweight, it was scraped, leaving ‘adjustment marks.’ Usually, underweight blanks were melted. In some instances, though, when a blank was underweight, a silver plug was added so that it reached an acceptable weight.

These four with a silver plug are of different die varieties. It seems that all (or almost all) of Dr. Hesselgesser’s bust dollars are in PCGS Secure holders. Please click to read my columns on the SecurePlus program (part 1: part 2).

An “AU-53” coin, lot #868 and variety BB-13, realized $74,750. The dollars in the next two lots also contained silver plugs. A ‘two leaves’ reverse variety (BB-13) is graded “AU-55” and has a CAC sticker of approval. It is reported to have brought $46,000. Again, I point out that all the current auction results cited in this column, except the $356,500 price, cannot be verified by time of publication and are subject to change. An “EF-40” grade 1795 dollar with a silver plug, offered as lot #870, is listed as having sold for $21,850.

The most newsworthy of the four with a silver plug is graded “AU-58” and has a CAC sticker. This coin, of variety BB-18, was formerly in the Cardinal Collection. I first saw it when it was auctioned in 2005. There is no reason to be confused by BB varieties. Even those who collect bust dollars by ‘BB’ variety usually have to ‘look up’ the varieties in a reference guide. I have not memorized any BB varieties, though I am sure that Logies has done so.

On May 30th, this “AU-58” graded 1795 Flowing Hair dollar with a silver plug was offered as lot #872. It has even medium gray and light brownish-russet tones, with blue areas, and exhibits minimal contact marks. The plug is prominent.

While I found the silver plug to be curious, and the coin to be likable overall, I was surprised when it brought $66,700 in 2005. The Goldbergs staff estimated that it would bring from $80,000 to $90,000 this time. I am startled by the reported result of $138,000!

Logies has some insights relating to this coin. Of the 1795 Flowing Hair dollars that each have a silver plug, Martin has “personally examined” all that have been PCGS or NGC graded AU-53 or higher. He points out that, in relation to those that grade AU-58 or higher, there are multiple counts of some of the same coins in the data published by the PCGS and the NGC. For example, “the two PCGS MS-64 listings represent the same coin. That coin was submitted for grading several times, first grading MS-63, and then MS-64, twice,” Logies reveals. Also, “the PCGS MS-65 coin is one and the same as the NGC MS-66PL.”

The topic, at this moment, is the Hesselgesser 1795, with a silver plug, that is PCGS graded AU-58. Logies asserts that it “and the NGC AU-58 coin are also one and the same. I purchased this coin for the Cardinal Collection in 2001, in the NGC AU-58 holder, and I had it crossed to PCGS,” Martin recounts.

In sum, Logies holds that this Cardinal-Hesselgesser coin “is untied as the third finest known 1795 Flowing Hair dollar with a silver plug.” Martin emphasizes that the NGC graded MS-61 1795 Flowing Hair Dollar with a silver plug is “NOT superior to” this coin. “I was offered the NGC MS-61 coin for the Cardinal Collection as a possible upgrade to the PCGS AU-58 piece, and I rejected it,” Logies remembers.

In Logies’ view, the $138,000 price for this coin is explained in part by the fact that the two higher quality, pertinent 1795 Flowing Hair Dollars, each with a silver plug, are in a collection that will not be sold in the near future. I admit that I was not aware of this fact and I have not been able to confirm it.

I still maintain that $138,000 is a very strong price for an AU-58 grade 1795 Flowing Hair dollar. How many collectors of bust dollars seriously seek the highest quality 1795 Flowing Hair Dollars, with a silver plug! How important is a plug, anyway?

Personally, I would rather have a MS-64 grade 1795 Flowing Hair dollar without a silver plug than an AU-58 1795 Flowing Hair Dollar with a silver plug. Alternately, for $138,000, a collector could buy several different dates in the bust dollar series, including at least one 1795, in AU-50 to AU-58 grades. Also, a 1794 dollar in Fine grade could perhaps be acquired for this same price.

V. Other Bust Dollars

There are just too many important dollars in the Hesselgesser collection to list here. Each did not realize a fortune. An attractively toned 1800 silver dollar brought $3220. It is PCGS graded Very Fine-35, is in a relatively new ‘Secure’ holder, and is one of the highest quality coins of its particular die variety (BB-188). The coins mentioned in this column are special and unusual. There are many, pleasant, naturally toned bust dollars available for much lower prices

Collecting Morgan Dollars Part II: an Interview with Steve Estes

By Louis Golino on May 24, 2011 7:20 AM

by Louis Golino

To view Part 1 of this article…Click Here

Steve Estes is a Portland, Oregon coin dealer and a professional numismatist who has been in business since 1963. He and his wife, Debbi, sell primarily PCGS and NGC-certified and some raw coins, especially Morgan and Peace dollars, Walking Liberty halves, and a wide range of other U.S. coins. He conducts business through his web site, www.steveestes.com , advertises regularly in publications such as Coin World, and attends coin shows.

Mr. Estes has developed a 1-10 scale for assessing a coin’s overall eye appeal, and this forms the heart of his coin philosophy. The scale represents his view of how a coin compares to one that is average for the grade and issue. Average coins would get a 5 on his scale, but he specifically looks for higher end coins that are further up the scale for his clients, especially what he calls EA-9 and EA-10 coins, which represent some of the best coins for the grade. EA stands for eye appeal.

He has also published a lot of very useful information for coin collectors on his web site that draws on his numismatic expertise and business experience, such as recommendations on coins which may be undervalued and suggestions about what grade to buy when putting together a collection of a specific series and overall budget. He also has numerous articles about Morgan and Peace dollars, Walking Liberty halves, and other series that focus on the main surface characteristics of specific years and mint marks, such as strike, luster, and contact marks, and other issues. I have found this information, especially that on silver dollars, to be extremely useful and comparable in many ways to Q. David Bowers’ Guidebook of Morgan Silver Dollars without all the historical background.

I recently had the opportunity to interview Mr. Estes.

1.) What led you to become a coin dealer? Did you begin as a collector?

A small accumulation of coins from my grandmother led me to the coin business, which I began as a dealer. I have always been intrigued by the artistic, historic and intrinsic value of coins.

2.) What do you like most about Morgan and Peace dollars, and what led you to specialize primarily in selling those coins as well as Walking Liberty halves?

Though I like all series of U.S. coins, silver dollars always held a special fascination. In the early 1960s I would rush to the bank on my lunch hour, purchase a $1000 bag of silver dollars, scan the contents for better dates and grades, then sell the remainder back to the bank before returning to work. The “good stuff” was quickly shipped off to dealers with buy ads in the back of coin publications. I learned a lot about Silver dollars very quickly!

I’ve enjoyed learning about and being part of major coin meltdowns and hoard discoveries. Though the silver dollar series ended in 1935, there were still lots of coins available. When the U.S. government removed the gold backing from our currency in 1973, I felt certain Silver dollars would remain popular for their bullion and numismatic values.

3.) Common-date graded and raw Morgan and Peace dollars in grades up to MS66 have had an amazing run recently, although they are still below their all-time highs from the late 1980′s. The remarkable rise in the price of silver clearly plays some role in this, especially for the lower-end BU coins whose price is more sensitive to the price of bullion. What do think is driving these increases? Do you believe they are driven in part by dealer promotions and telemarketers? Do you think these prices are sustainable, and do they still have more room to increase in the near future, as Laura Sperber of Legend recently predicted?

The coin market is typically driven by two forces: collectors and investors. From 1992 to 2005, collectors drove the coin market. Investor participation dramatically increased during 2010 and is strongly affecting the current market. Some of this investor interest is created by promotions and telemarketing.

Common date dollars are usually the first to rise in price, followed by all the better dates. As long as demand for silver remains strong and the overall economy improves, I see continued potential for price increases in all Morgan and Peace dollars.

4.) As prices for common-date silver dollars continue to rise, prices for lots of better date dollar coins appear to be undervalued. For example, 1881-S MS65′s graded by NGC or PCGS are retailing for about $230, while a 1903 MS65 is still $300, as it has been for a long time. Do you agree with this view, and are there any dates you would recommend besides what is listed on your web site?

There are definite disparities when looking at price levels of various dollar issues and grades. A few dates I think have special potential due to current pricing include: 1879-S R78 (MS-63, MS-64), 1892 (MS-63, MS-64), 1897-S (MS-64, MS-65), 1899-S (MS-63, MS-64), and 1902 (MS-64, MS-65). Buy these issues in NGC or PCGS holders.

5.) Do you have any other advice for Morgan dollar collectors?

I recommend collectors continue to hold better date issues and wait for the cycle to peak. I suspect better date dollars will increase in price between 50% and 200% within the next 3 years.

Postscript: Laura Sperber of Legend Numismatics posted a market report on April 29 in which she reversed her previous view on the near-term outlook for common-date, or generic, silver dollars. She said that current prices are being driven by telemarketer demand, that generic dollars are in a bubble, and that she recommends people sell now while prices are high. Although I agree with this view, I do not believe it changes the medium to long-term outlook for silver dollars, especially for better dates, as Mr. Estes explains. During the month of May the wholesale market for generic dollars has declined, as silver declined from almost $50 to about $35. But so far the retail and auction market has not yet caught up with the decline at the wholesale level. Over time, reduced demand at the wholesale level should drive retail prices down. Dealer buy prices already reflect the decline.

Collecting Morgan Dollars Part I: an Overview

By Louis Golino on May 23, 2011 7:13 AM

by Louis Golino

The Morgan silver dollar, minted between 1878 and 1921, has no real peer in the numismatic world. It is by far the most widely collected and traded numismatic coin in the world. Attend any coin show and you will quickly see that slabbed and raw Morgan dollars are everywhere. Look through the typical mail order dealer’s catalog or advertisement, or those of higher end dealers and auction houses, and again, you will encounter lots and lots of Morgan dollars. Peace dollars are popular too, and have the advantage of being a much shorter set that is not very hard to complete depending on the desired quality, but they have never been as widely collected as Morgan dollars.

There is certainly no shortage of Morgans in the marketplace. Hundreds of millions of the coins were minted in large part because of legislation that required them to be made in quantities that far exceeded what was needed for commerce. That is because there was a very powerful lobby in the late 19th and early 20th centuries that represented silver mining companies. In 1918, in an effort to prop up the price of silver, more than 270 million Morgan dollars were melted, and the silver bullion was sold to India. Millions more were melted later.

No records were kept of which coins were melted, so over the years numismatists have attempted to piece together estimates of surviving coins from various written sources. Even with all that melting, millions of the coins survive to this day. According to estimates by Q. David Bowers and other noted experts, there are 100 to 200 million Morgans and as many as 65 million mint state coins alone, with more than 10-15 million of them 1921 dollars.

As a result of all the overproduction of Morgans, some dates, especially the 1921 coins, as well as others such as the San Francisco mint marked coins from 1880-1882, are quite common even in high states of preservation. The 1921 coins are by far the most common, with more than 85 million minted between the Philadelphia, Denver and San Francisco mints. They were made from a different die than coins from 1878-1904 and are flatter and generally less attractive, especially the San Francisco coins which are very poorly struck.

Morgan dollars are an endlessly fascinating coin series. Completing the full set of approximately 100 coins, depending on whether or not one includes overdates and major die varieties, even in circulated grades is a daunting challenge, and for many a lifelong quest. Some people chose to build a date set and don’t worry about having one from every branch mint. Others focus on VAM’s, which are die varieties that are named after Leroy C. Van Allen and A. George Mallis. To acquire the scarcer dates, be prepared to spend substantial money even for lower grade coins. The 1895 only exists in proof, and the 1893-S is the rarest business strike issue, with fewer than 100 in existence.

Another very popular specialization is to collect only the coins minted in Carson City, Nevada, especially those still in their original black boxes from the General Services Administration. The GSA conducted a series of auctions and mail order sales of the coins from 1972 to 1980. Some of the Carson City coins, like the 1882-1884 issues are common in grades up to MS-66, but others are extremely rare, especially the 1889-CC, of which only one coin exists in the original GSA holder. When NGC grades the GSA-housed coins, it uses a blue and white band that goes around the holder with the grade indicated instead of removing the coin from its GSA box. But a larger number of CC coins on the marketplace are not housed in the black boxes and may have come from a different source than the GSA sales.

To collect Morgan dollars it is critical to understand the differences in key surface characteristics, especially strike, luster, and contact marks, associated with different branch mints and with coins of different years. To specialize in Morgans and build a collection of lasting value I strongly suggest consulting experts who have studied the coins for many years. Since most people can’t afford to pay for an expert consultation, or spend years studying the series before beginning a collection, it is helpful to rely on published sources. The best single one is Q. David Bowers’, Guidebook of Morgan Silver Dollars, now in its third edition.

Mr. Bowers is widely considered the dean of American numismatists, and is the most prolific coin author of all time having written well over 50 books. He became a coin dealer at the age of 17 and writes a weekly column for Coin World. He has bought and sold virtually ever major rarity and is the person who was chosen to appraise and sell by auction the greatest coin collections of all time, the Garrett and Eliasberg collections. Mr. Eliasberg, a Baltimore, Maryland banker, is the only person who ever owned a complete collection of American coins.

The prices in the third edition of his Morgan guide book from 2007 are now outdated, but the information on the history of the coins and especially the date-by-date and mint mark analysis is absolutely essential to building a solid collection. Coins of one year and branch mint were struck very well such as many from Philadelphia, whereas, for example, coins from New Orleans are notorious for their poor strikes, particularly in the obverse center of Miss Liberty’s hair just above her ear and on the reverse on the breast feathers. Coins from 1878, which are very popular, are made from different dies and always come with shallower breast feathers. There are also several major varieties of 1878 dollars based on the number of tail feathers on the eagle.

If a collector does not understand these points, he or she will not know what to look for in selecting a good coin for the grade. When I look at Morgans at a coin show or dealer’s store, I always zero in on the center of both sides, carefully studying the strike, luster, marks, and overall eye appeal, which is the most important factor when assessing a coin’s appearance. And before I look for a certain date, I make sure to consult Mr. Bowers guide book and other sources.

One also needs to know how to grade Morgans and to understand the differences between say an MS63 coin and an MS65 coin, which are substantial despite the two-point difference. In fact, the major coin grading companies were in many ways created because in the 1970′s and early 1980′s Morgan dollars were traded very widely by many coin dealers with subjective grading designations such as “Gem BU.” Subjective grading terms proliferated and prices for what seemed like the same grade varied dramatically. Some kind of more scientific approach was needed to protect the consumer and undergird the market.

The various published grading guides are very useful for learning the basics, but there is no substitute for seeing lots and lots of coins. One reason dealers tend to be better graders than collectors, which is not necessarily true if the collector is more advanced and experienced, is that they come across so many coins in the course of their work.

So many mint state Morgan dollars exist today in large part because they were saved over the years in canvas Treasury bags, where they knocked against each other when moved, and hoarded by people such as Lavere Redfield. This resulted in bag marks, contact marks and abrasions, and sometimes colorful toning even though they were never used in commerce. In 1962 the Treasury department discovered large quantities of Morgan dollars in bags that had been sitting around for decades, including the three million Carson City coins that were later sold by the GSA, and many previously scarce coins.

One of Mr. Bowers’ favorite tales is that of the 1903-O Morgan dollar, which in the 1960′s was the rarest Morgan dollar. Mr. Bowers said he never encountered a mint state one in his years as a young dealer. But in November 1962 when bags with hundreds of thousands of the coin in uncirculated condition were discovered, overnight the coin’s value plummeted from $1500 to $15. Today it is a mid-range date and sells for approximately $400 depending on the grade. In March 1964 the Treasury halted sales of Morgan dollar bags. By 1967 the New York Mercantile Exchange was trading bags of these coins for more than twice face value at a time when the price of silver was fixed at $1.29, as Mr. Bowers recounts in a new book on precious metals called “Precious Metal,” which I plan to review soon.

In the second part of this article (Click Here), I will interview one of the most experienced Morgan dollar dealers in the country, professional numismatist Steve Estes of Portland, Orgeon. I will ask him about the recent explosion in prices for common-date uncirculated coins and whether he thinks those prices are sustainable and other issues.

Louis Golino is a coin collector and numismatic writer, whose articles on coins have appeared in Coin World, Numismatic News, and a number of different coin web sites. He collects U.S. and European coins and is a member of the ANA, PCGS, NGC, and CAC. He has also worked for the U.S. Library of Congress and has been a syndicated columnist and news analyst on international affairs for a wide variety of newspapers and web sites.

Posted by Steve Roach on February 22, 2011 8:45 AM

By Steve Roach - http://www.steveroachonline.com
First published in the March 7, 2011, Special Edition of Coin World

The Morgan dollar is widely traded at all levels, from the top-grade rarities that sell in the high-six figures for investment portfolios to the low-grade polished coins that trade in bulk as collectible alternatives to silver bullion.

he top end of the Morgan dollar market is healthy, with expensive coins in the $5,000 to $250,000 level finding buyers when appearing at auction and bidders paying extra when a top-quality coin meets their requirements.

For example, at the Jan. 5 Heritage Florida United Numismatists auction, an 1893-S Morgan dollar graded About Uncirculated 58 sold for $80,500. Between 2008 and 2009, four AU-58 examples appeared at auction, with prices realized ranging from $21,850 to $46,000.

In contrast, an MS-64 example sold at the Jan. 5 Heritage auction for $218,500, while at the 2009 FUN Heritage auction, two 1893-S Morgan dollars sold for $299,000 — one was graded MS-64 by Professional Coin Grading Service, another Mint State 65 by Numismatic Guaranty Corp.

It can’t be stressed enough: When dealing with five-figure plus coins, a one size fits all approach to pricing does not work as the quality of a coin within a given grade matters more than ever in today’s market.

Yet, for the collector on a budget, a PCGS Genuine 1893-S Morgan dollar sold at Heritage’s Feb. 4 auction for $1,265. While it had the .94 suffix, indicating Altered Surfaces, from the picture it looked decent enough to not cause embarrassment if added to one’s collection. (See image)

Beautiful rainbow toned Morgan dollars continue to see astonishing prices, such as the 1883 Morgan dollar graded MS-65 that sold for $1,725 at Heritage’s Jan. 6 auction, more than 10 times what a brilliant example in the same grade would bring.

One area that has shown remarkable movement in the last year has been certified Mint State generic coins — “generic” indicating a coin that does not trade for a premium because of its date.

As of Jan. 26, examples certified by PCGS and NGC are trading wholesale for $45 in MS-63, $65 in MS-64, $138 in MS-65, $230 in MS-66 and $565 in MS-67, provided that they are untoned, or nearly so. For comparison, last year at this time the wholesale pricing was: MS-63, $35; MS-64, $44; MS-65, $112; MS-66, $210; and MS-67 $630.

While MS-64 examples have increased nearly 50 percent in the last year, MS-67 examples have declined 10 percent. Of course, a broader range of collectors — and would-be collectors that marketers can target — can afford MS-64 coins, and marketers know this.

For many collectors, an MS-67 Morgan dollar is a coin easily found that can wait for better economic times.

Circulated Morgan dollars are also showing a healthy market, with dealers paying $30 for “sliders” — choice About Uncirculated coins that can pass as Uncirculated to untrained eyes — and $34 for solid Mint State coins. For comparison, this is the same price that certified MS-61 and MS-62 coins are trading for in wholesale markets.

Coin Rarities & Related Topics: Coins Minted After 1934 tend to be Very Common, 1793 to 1933 is the Classic Era – Part One

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By Greg Reynolds on Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Filed Under: Column: Coin Rarities, Featured, General Collecting, Modern US Coins, US Coins

News and Analysis regarding scarce coins, coin markets, and the coin collecting community, #23

A Weekly Column by Greg Reynolds

Last week’s column was about dealer recommendations for new collectors who seek coins valued at $250, more or less, with consideration of a few that are valued at more than $1000. Among the experts that I interviewed, no one suggested buying coins minted after 1934. This column is devoted to an exploration of the topic of the 1933 to 1935 time period being a dividing line between classic and modern U.S. coins. This is not my opinion; it is an objective reality. Conclusive evidence will be provided herein.

A review of coin related publications in the 1960s, ’70s, ’80s and ’90s would suggest this dividing line. Indeed, quite a few dealers in classic U.S. coins used to include a statement relating to the years ‘1793 to 1933′ in their ads and pricelists. Almost always, leading auction firms emphasized coins in the 1793 to 1933 time period and still do so.

Why discuss this dividing line now? I am concerned about the amounts paid for condition rarities of the post-1934 era. I do not have a problem with a collector paying a large sum of money for a condition rarity if the coin issue in general is at least moderately scarce. It is wonderful that someone paid $138,000 for the Duckor 1904-S half dollar, which is PCGS graded MS-67. (Please click to read my two part series on Dr. Duckor’s halves, part 1 or part 2.) A low grade 1904-S half could be obtained for less than one hundred dollars. The 1904-S date, though, is scarce in general. The PCGS and the NGC together have certified less than two hundred different 1904-S halves, and probably more than two thousand uncertified 1904-S halves exist. Certainly, there are fewer than five thousand in existence, in all grades. For post-1934 coins, however, people often spend vast amounts for superb gem quality coins when hundreds of thousands or literally millions exist of the same respective coin issue.

If millions of a coin issue exist overall or thousands in MS-65 grade, how much should a MS-67 or higher grade representative of the same coin issue be worth? There is not an easy answer to the question. Of course, supply and demand determine prices in relatively free markets. I am not challenging the truthfulness of current price levels for supergrade modern coins. I am wondering whether the buyers have thought carefully about their demands. I am also wondering whether many sellers of post-1934 coins are, sometimes implicitly, misleading buyers, or are ignorant themselves. Anyone who can afford an inventory may become a coin dealer. In any event, in order to understand the distinction between classic U.S. coins and modern issues, there is a need to learn about both and about the dividing line between classic coins and modern issues.

I. The 1793-1933 Tradition

Referring to U.S. coins minted from 1793 to 1933 as classic coin issues is not arbitrary and it is not an accidental tradition. When polling dealers and collectors, I became aware that everyone seemed to remember the tradition of referring to 1933 or 1934 as a dividing line, but no one recollected the origins or meaning of the tradition. The true reason is that pre-1934 coins (with few exceptions) are much scarcer than post-1934 coins. (more…)

Philadelphia Walkers: strange story

August 02, 2010
by  Paul M. Green

Summary

The Saint-Gaudens design for the gold $20 might win the honor of being called the most beautiful coin of the United States, but the Walking Liberty half dollar surely was the most beautiful coin design accessible to the average person.

This article was originally printed in the latest issue of Numismatic News.
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Who doesn’t like the Walking Liberty half dollar design? The Saint-Gaudens design for the gold $20 might win the honor of being called the most beautiful coin of the United States, but the Walking Liberty half dollar surely was the most beautiful coin design accessible to the average person.

Only the Buffalo nickel might dispute that title with the Walking Liberty half dollar.

If we didn’t all collect Walking Liberty half dollars out of change in the 1950s and early 1960s, it wasn’t for artistic reasons. It was purely financial. A half a buck was just too much money to tie up in one coin. Years of inflation might make that statement hard to believe for youngsters today, but it was true.

And if we had been able to collect Walking Liberty half dollars from circulation in those happy days of childhood, I think it is fair to say that we wouldn’t have been especially watchful for the Philadelphia strikes as a group, but certainly there are some very scarce early dates that we would have realized very fast.

This is perhaps what makes reviewing the situation today so interesting.

It’s easy to make assumptions when it comes to Philadelphia coins especially during the first half of the past century. As the main facility, the Philadelphia Mint would frequently turn out far high mintages than the other facilities. Moreover, as had been the case historically there was significant saving of new issues in and around the Philadelphia area. The result is that in many cases coins from Philadelphia are more available than the same date and type from Denver or San Francisco. While that is a general pattern, it does not apply in every case and some of those cases can be found in the Philadelphia Walking Liberty half dollars, which sometimes can be surprisingly tough.

The message that Philadelphia would not always be the top producer of Walking Liberty half dollars was immediately clear as when the Walking Liberty half dollar was introduced in 1916, the Philadelphia mintage stood at just 608,000, which was well below the Denver total of 1,014,000 and just 100,000 coins higher than San Francisco.

To have the main facility produce significantly few coins than Denver and close to the San Francisco total was highly unusual. The situation could at least in part be explained by the fact that Philadelphia in 1916 was a very busy place. After all, there were three new designs being introduced that year and that was unusual as historically the dime, quarter and half dollar basically had the same design. The dime because of its size did not have an eagle on the reverse but otherwise the three designs were the same. That was changed in 1916. For the first time in history the three denominations would have very different designs.

Time was another factor. The historical record was mixed, but even with the designs being basically the same, a design change was not always accomplished on all three denominations in the same year. All designs had been changed in 1892, but if you went further back to the Seated Liberty design, it took well over a year before the design would be used on all denominations.

In 1916 they were attempting to get three new designs ready in the same year. Even with better technology and a larger staff, it was a real challenge as Philadelphia not only had to produce its own coins but also prepare the designs and in addition make and ship the dies for all denominations to the other facilities.

As it worked out, the A.A. Weinman Mercury dime was prepared first because there was more commercial demand for dimes. The A.A. Weinman Walking Liberty half dollar was the second to be prepared and the Hermon MacNeil Standing Liberty quarter was third. The fact that they barely completed their work is seen in the fact that the first Standing Liberty quarter had a mintage of just 52,000 pieces and no 1916 quarters were produced at either Denver or San Francisco. This is probably because there was no time to get the dies to the other mints and begin production before the year was finished.

Here is another factor, which is that heading into 1916 there was a very definite pattern of low production of half dollars at Philadelphia. It is hard to know why the pattern existed as the assumption would be that Philadelphia would be a major producer of half dollars. Perhaps the demand for the denomination was lower in the East or perhaps there was some other reason, but Philadelphia had a 1910 half dollar mintage of just 418,551. That total was followed by better than 1 million totals in 1911 and 1912, but then the total really took a nosedive with the 1913 Philadelphia half dollar having a mintage of just 188,627 and the 1914 was just 124,610, with the 1915 total being 138,450.

Compared to the other facilities, that 1913 total was well below either Denver or San Francisco while the 1914 was below San Francisco with Denver having had no mintage and then the 1915 was more than 1 million pieces below either Denver or San Francisco.

Certainly there was a pattern there of low mintages from Philadelphia, making the 1916 seem not as low as it originally appears especially when compared to the other facilities as it was higher than San Francisco and at the time that was actually not always the case.

The 1916 Walking Liberty half dollar was an interesting coin. The assumption would be that being a new design and coming from Philadelphia the 1916 would be heavily saved if for no other reason than as a novelty, which produces a lot of saving when new coins are issued. There was almost certainly some of that, but perhaps not as much as we might expect. There were, after all, three new designs that year and a half dollar was a lot of money to many at the time.

Also, it was not just the collectors of the period who reacted this way. In his research, Q. David Bowers discovered that the dealers of the day also did very little saving of new issues as he could find only a couple with what he calls “working inventories” of the 1916 quarter. As a lower denomination with a mintage of just 52,000, the 1916 Standing Liberty quarter seems like a far better candidate for saving than the 1916 Walking Liberty half dollar. If the quarter was not being saved, there is little reason to expect that the half dollar was saved in any numbers.

Thanks to its low mintage, the 1916 Walking Liberty half dollar is actually a better date although it is not one of the few dates topping $100 in G-4. It is, however, at $47 inG-4 and that is a premium price as available dates are still at basically silver related prices of $7.40.

In the case of a Mint State example, the 1916 by a narrow margin is the most available of the 1916 Walking Liberty half dollars with a price of $345 in MS-60, which is just less than the 1916-D while an MS-65 is $1,950, which is also lower than the 1916-D.

There may be a couple of factors at work in the prices as there were still more collectors in the Philadelphia area, so despite a low mintage there was likely to be greater saving of the Philadelphia 1916. In addition, the Denver and San Francisco 1916 half dollars had the obverse mintmarks, which are popular and which lasted for just 1916 and part of 1917, and that could mean some additional demand for nice examples featuring the obverse mintmarks.

The supplies reported today of the 1916 do suggest at least some saving as the Professional Coin Grading Service has seen just over 1,000 examples of the 1916 and about 80 percent qualify as Mint State. While there are more Mint State coins than is usually seen for the period,  the supply in MS-65 or better is still modest ,with 141 coins being graded MS-65, 59 graded MS-66 and just four were called MS-67.

The pattern of lower half dollar mintages from Philadelphia seemed to change in 1917 and 1918 as the 1917 mintage was a record 12,292,000 pieces and the 1918 was large as well at 6,634,000. Those totals make the two readily available especially in circulated grades where both are at basically common date prices.

The modest saving of new examples was to have an impact and we see that in the prices with the 1917 at $130 in MS-60 and $1,050 in MS-65. The 1918 is much tougher at $565 in MS-60 and $3,800 in MS-65.

We see the difficulty in finding a 1918 in the grading service totals as well for PCGS has only seen the 1918 72 times in MS-65 and just 7 times in MS-66. Those totals are not the lowest for a Walking Liberty half dollar, but they are low enough to suggest that with any additional increase in demand the 1918 might prove to be a real problem and that is even true in lower Mint State grades as in all Mint State grades PCGS has only seen the 1918 a total of roughly 425 times.

After a couple years of higher mintages, the Philadelphia 1919 total dropped to just 962,000 pieces, which once again was the lowest total for the three facilities. That makes the 1919 a better date at $26 in G-4. In Mint State all 1919 Walking Liberty half dollars are in short supply. It is hard to know why the year seems to be such a problem, but the Philadelphia 1919 is the most available although hardly readily available with an MS-60 price of $1,325 and an MS-65 listing of $7,750 with the grading service totals again showing very low numbers as the 1919 has been seen just 42 times in MS-65 by PCGS alone with 16 appearances in MS-66 and five more in MS-67.

In 1920 the mintage in Philadelphia returned to higher levels with a production of 6,372,000, making the 1920 a more available date at just $9.7 in G-4 while an MS-60 is $330 and an MS-65 at $5,250. That MS-65 price is high, suggesting a lack of supply and that is confirmed by PCGS as the 1920 has been seen 61 times in MS-65 and 10 more times in MS-66.
The years that followed would see Walking Liberty half dollar mintages influenced by the sharp recession and then the return to Roaring Twenties prosperity.

The need for silver dollars helped take up the slack. Secretary of the Treasury Andrew Mellon had the task of reforming U.S. finances following the high deficits of World War I.
It was not a case where the United States had no silver dollars as there were still hundreds of millions sitting in the vaults, but the Pittman Act of 1918 had resulted in the melting of just over 270 million and that caused a problem as those dollars were needed to back Silver Certificates. Other notes with a different backing had to be issued and those notes were backed by short term notes that paid 2 percent interest. In the mind of the secretary of the Treasury Silver Certificates backed by silver dollars were much better than paying 2 percent interest so he ordered production to replace the melted dollars, which finished in 1928.

The problem was that silver dollars take time to produce and even though shifts at the facilities were changed from 8 to 12 hours a day, six days a week, producing 200 million silver dollars was a slow process.

Wartime inflation caused the price of silver to spike and for a time in 1919 and 1920, the silver in a silver dollar was worth $1.06. Even the slightly lighter dimes, quarters and halves were threatening to see the metal value exceed face value, but when the recession hit, the silver priced dropped by more than half.

The result of the slack economy was that all Walking Liberty half dollar mintages in 1921 were very low. The 1921-S proved to be the top mintage date of the year at 548,000, which in a normal year would have been low. The 1921-D was the lowest mintage date of the three at 208,000 while the Philadelphia 1921 half dollar was not much higher at 246,000. Those totals made the 1921 and 1921-D the key circulated Walking Liberty half dollars with the Philadelphia 1921 ranking as the second most expensive Walking Liberty half dollar in G-4 at $165 while the 1921-D is $310 in the same grade.

In Mint State the 1921 is also a very difficult date with an MS-60 price of $4,500 and an MS-65 at $19,500. While those prices are not as tough as the mintages might suggest, it must be remembered in Mint State what matters is the number saved at the time and not how many were produced. The PCGS totals show that while low mintage the 1921 did have a small amount of saving with 59 examples graded MS-65 and three more in MS-66.

What followed the 1921 low mintages were even lower mintages as Philadelphia would basically go out of the half dollar production business for years. It is possible there was a backlog, but it is worth remembering that stretching all the way back to Barber half dollars the Philadelphia mintages suggested that the need for half dollars at least in the area served by Philadelphia was apparently not that high while San Francisco tended to always need half dollars. The only other half dollar mintages for the rest of the 1920s would be from Denver and San Francisco and the Denver total was also extremely low as it produced just over 1 million pieces in 1929 but no others.

The San Francisco mintages while more frequent were also not regular and not very large as none would reach more than 2.5 million coins. By the later part of the decade the silver dollar production was over so that reason for low mintages was eliminated, but it did not take long for the nation to drift into the Great Depression. Tough economic times usually result in lower mintages.

Certainly tough economic times result in lesser demand for higher denominations, but Philadelphia was once again unusual in that it continued its string of no half dollar mintages until 1934. From that point on Philadelphia would have regular half dollar mintages, but for the period of more than a decade from 1922 through 1933 it would be awfully hard to make the case that Philadelphia was a leading half dollar producer.

Even when half dollar production returned to Philadelphia in 1934 it was not a case where the facility seemed to making up for lost time. The mintages in the 1930s would range from about 12 million in 1936 to 4 million in 1938, so none can be called unusually large. The higher mintages result in lower prices. An MS-65 1934 is $565, a 1935 is $365, the top mintage 1936 is $265, the 1937 is $285, the 1938, the lowest mintage date of the group, is $460 and the 1939 and 1940 would be $210 and $185, respectively. The grading service totals support such prices as it appears that collecting interest or perhaps dealer saving or both had increased so we see significantly higher numbers available for all these dates.

From the period of no production Philadelphia would go to the opposite extreme with the start of World War II. The war years would see extremely large half dollar mintages with the peak coming in 1943 when 53,190,000 were produced. That extremely high total at the time was really only a little higher than the 1942. With such totals it is natural that the dates are available.
Even with the heavy mintages, examples in MS-65 are not always as available as might be expected as when mintages rise quality sometimes suffers. That said ,almost any Philadelphia Walking Liberty half dollar date from the 1940s can be found for roughly $150 to $200,  making them the least costly MS-65 Walking Liberty half dollars and perfect candidates for type collections.

With the end of World War II, the production levels dropped off significantly to 12,118,000 in 1946 and a mere 4,094,000 in 1947. Such totals might result in higher prices, but at least in part, the low totals were overcome by increased saving as the interest in coin collecting would increase quickly with the end of the war.

Moreover, with the change in design to the Franklin half dollar in 1948, some saved the last years of the Walking Liberty half dollar although the coins saved in many cases while nice looking tend to be AU or lower Mint State in grades.

That makes it easy to acquire an MS-60 from the 1941-1947 period as all are safely under $50, but MS-65 examples are not as available as many think. We see that in prices of $200 for the 1946 and $275 for the 1947 in MS-65. Over time we may see other changes as these lower priced dates in MS-65 have not always been sent into the grading services in large numbers, so the numbers reported by the services may well not be a perfectly accurate reflection of which dates are less available and which dates are more numerous.

With the 1947 mintage the Philadelphia Walking Liberty half dollar production would come to an end. As you study the Philadelphia Walking Liberty half dollars it is hard to escape the fact that these coins have an extremely interesting story. In addition, their history of production is not what most would expect from Philadelphia as very clearly the nation’s main mint was not as active in terms of half dollar production as most would assume. As a result, the Philadelphia Walking Liberty half dollars are tougher than most would expect but that makes them a great group to acquire as realistically they are excellent values on very interesting coins.

Silver swindle: Counterfeit coin scam apparently reaches Peninsula

By JIM JOHNSON
Herald Salinas Bureau Posted: 05/05/2010 03:11:22 AM PDT Updated: 05/05/2010 08:35:51 AM PDT


Click photo to enlarge Nader Agha, owner of the Coin & Treasure Shoppe in Monterey, holds an… (VERN FISHER/The Herald)
An ongoing scam thought to be based in the San Francisco Bay Area involving the sale of “counterfeit” antique coins has apparently hit the Peninsula.

Peninsula developer Nader Agha, also a rare-coin dealer and owner of the Coin & Treasure Shoppe on Alvarado Street, last week purchased what he thought were three mint-condition U.S. Morgan Silver Dollar coins for $4,500 from a man who said he’d found them in an abandoned storage locker in Hollister. The silver dollars are generally regarded as one of the most popular precious coins among investors.

According to Agha, the man, who identified himself as Joel Silva and Jose Silva, returned the next day to sell Agha more of the coins. This time, the dealer decided to inspect the merchandise more closely and the man fled with an associate. Agha said he immediately called police.

Monterey police officer Kim Purcell confirmed that Agha had reported an alleged crime, but said the report was forwarded to the U.S. Secret Service because it involved a potential federal crime.

Purcell said local police wouldn’t release any details about the report, including a photo of the suspect, so they wouldn’t potentially compromise the Secret Service’s ongoing investigation. She said the Secret Service confirmed they have been investigating the counterfeit rare coin scam “for some time.”

Purcell said anyone dealing in rare coins should be aware that there may be someone pushing the counterfeit merchandise.

“This definitely sounds like something local coin dealers want to be aware of,” Purcell said.

Secret Service officials did not return phone calls from The Herald.

Agha said he later learned that the scam has netted several other victims, including some from as far away as Modesto. Other reports indicate the scam could have stretched all the way to Oregon. He said the scam is initially very believable and difficult to detect because the counterfeiters apparently splice two genuine antique silver dollars of considerably lesser value together to create the impression that they are more valuable, worth as much as tens of thousands of dollars. The coins, which are contained in protective plastic holders, even appear authentic under high-powered magnifiers, Agha said.

The counterfeiter also had the coins in a box from a well-known grading company, Professional Coin Grading Service of Southern California, according to Agha. A call to the company confirmed that the scam has been underway for some time, Agha said.

“This is very, very bad,” Agha said. “This not only undermines the confidence in PCGS but compromises all buyers and collectors’ confidence in the grading companies.”

According to David Stag, a Santa Rosa-based rare-coin dealer who does business all over the western U.S., the counterfeit scheme is believed to be part of a larger criminal conspiracy that has been in operation for at least seven months. Stag said he had seen 10 of the counterfeit coins himself in the past seven months and had even purchased them before realizing they weren’t authentic. He said he’d heard there had already been at least three arrests in connection with the scam.

According to Agha, his first experience with a counterfeit rare coin scam began late on the morning of April 28 when a man he described as African-American in his late 30s with braided hair entered his store. The man, who introduced himself as “Joel Silva,” told Agha he had discovered “very rare coins” after buying a self-storage locker in Hollister, and offered to sell them.

Agha said he had never seen such beautiful coins in his 40 years in the business, describing them as “phenomenal” and in mint condition, and said he was concerned they were stolen, not counterfeit. He paid the man with a $4,500 check, though he said his suspicions were further aroused when the man asked him to write the check to “Jose Silva.”

The man later cashed the check at Monterey County Bank, Agha said, and his image was captured on their video surveillance system.

The next day, Agha said the man called back and offered to sell more of the coins, and brought one of them by the store later that morning. When Agha pulled out a high-powered scope to inspect the coin more closely, the man immediately said he had to go to his car to get more coins and rare stamps.

Agha and an associate followed him out of the store and saw the man get into a white truck with another man and drive away quickly. Agha said he called police, as well as the grading company, and learned about the apparent extent of the scam. He said the man called back a few hours later and said he was coming by to pick up the coin, but never showed.

Jim Johnson can be reached at 753-6753 or jjohnson@montereyherald.com.

The 1895 Morgan Dollar: The 1895 Morgan Dollar is known as the “King of the Morgan Dollars” because it is the rarest and most valuable of the entire Morgan Dollar series. PF-68 specimens of this rare coin have sold for upwards of $120,000 at auction.

According to U.S. Mint records, there were 12,000 regular circulation Morgan Dollars struck for 1895, and 880 Proof specimens struck. However, only 75 to 80 of the 1895 Morgans have been accounted for, all of them Proofs. Where did 12,000 plus coins go?

 A Mysterious Disappearance?: Numismatic scholars are divided in their opinions as to why the 12,000 business strike specimens of the 1895 Morgan Silver Dollar have vanished into history. Most believe that the coins were never minted in the first place, and that this notation in the Mint accounting ledgers is in error. Some believe that the coins were minted, but melted down for various reasons. I even read one theory that proposes the coins were lost at sea in a shipwreck.

Why is it Called the “Morgan” Dollar when it Depicts Lady Liberty?: Actually, the Morgan Dollar (so-called because it was designed by George T. Morgan) has been called much worse. When it first came out, it was an unpopular coin frequently derided as the “Buzzard Dollar” because of the shape of the eagle’s head and the eagle’s generally scrawny appearance. Another popular term for the Morgan was “Cartwheels.” The proper term for the coin type is the “Liberty Head” dollar.

Millions and Millions of Morgans!: Although the Morgan Dollar wasn’t very popular when it first came out, we know today that it is one of the most popular coin types in the entire U.S. coinage series. Why did this change?

The answer is, millions and millions of Morgans! More than half a billion Morgan Dollars were made between 1878 and 1904, largely because of a law called the Bland-Allison Act, passed by Congress in February of 1878, which mandated that the Treasury must buy 2 to 4 million troy ounces of silver per month!

The “Silver Dick” Lobby: The Treasury was forced to buy this incredible amount of silver, which was flowing out of the Comstock Lode in Nevada, because of a group of silver mine owners who had formed a lobbying group. Led by Congressman Richard “Silver Dick” Bland, the silver lobby was able to pass legislation that made the U.S. Treasury its biggest customer.

Of course, the Treasury had to do something with all this silver, so it had the Mint produce the Liberty Head, aka Morgan, Silver Dollars.

Morgan Dollars are Called the “Buzzard Dollars”: The Morgan Dollar wasn’t very popular. The eagle was considered ugly, and the coin was derisively called a “cartwheel” for its large size and weight, so the Morgan Dollars sat in government vaults for many years, languishing in obscurity. Hundreds of millions of them were melted down again through the years, and many, such as the 12,000 made in 1895, are unaccounted for. But there were still plenty of Morgans to go around, since they only circulated in a few small areas.

The Silver Certificate Secret: Sometime around 1960, certain coin dealers became aware that the Treasury was giving out Morgan Dollars that were more than 80 years old, on a dollar for dollar basis, in exchange for silver certificates. Many of the dealers were just after the silver bullion at lower-than-market cost, but others realized the potential collector value of these 60 to 80 year-old mint state silver dollars. Tens of millions of Morgans were bought at face value until 1964 when the Treasury shut this practice down.

The Public Finally Wakes up to the Beauty of the Morgan Dollar: The Treasury had about 2.9 million Morgans left in 1964, mostly scarce Carson City specimens, which the GSA put up for public sale via mail-bid auctions starting in 1972. By 1980, as the supplies dwindled, the public finally became interested in the beautiful Morgan Dollar. The real feeding frenzy came, however, when an amazing hoard of more than 400,000 Morgans was found in the basement of Nevada miser LaVere Redfield after his death in 1975.

Morgan Mania at Last: The Redfield find got a lot of publicity, and as the U.S. population had become a lot more familiar with the value of its silver coins in the years following the change from the silver coinage to the clad coinage, the Morgan Dollar finally came into its own as a popular collectible series. The publication of the “Comprehensive Catalog and Encyclopedia of Peace and Morgan Silver Dollars” by Leroy Van Allen and George Mallis, (the VAM book) also spurred significant collector interest in Morgans.

Wham VAM, Thank You Ma’am: The VAM book, so named for the initials of its authors, really boosted the values of Morgan Dollars into the big time. This book lists all of the known die varieties of the Morgan Dollar series, and got collectors to examine their coins more closely for detail. Coins that were previously valued based on a given year’s known mintage of X number of specimens, now had sub-categories of specimens for that year based on die varieties. These sub-categories were naturally more scarce than just any coin from that year, so collectors who might previously have been satisfied with one specimen from each year and mint, now had to have several from each to complete the “set.”

The Holy Grail of the Morgan Dollar Series:

For the rarest Morgan Dollar year/mint variety of them all, the 1895-plain, there are no business strike specimens known to exist. And even though 880 Proof specimens were struck according to Mint records, there are various estimates as to how many remain, ranging from 75 to 80, to upwards of 500! Some of the Proof specimens have been circulated, usually by accident because the Mint didn’t always package them so nicely as they do today, but no business strike example of the 1895 Morgan Silver Dollar has ever been found.

Is it out there? Possibly. If so, if it ever comes to light, it will be one of the most spectacular finds ever in American numismatics!

Come discuss Morgan Dollars with us in the Coin-Collectors Forum.

Special thanks to WackyWolf, a Forum member who offered corrections for this article.

J&T Coins LLC is now selling Generic bright white PCGS MS 62 Morgan Dollars. Offering these for sale individually and in lots of up to 100. Priced very competitively from $34.00 each.

For more information or to order click here or call J&T Coins LLC at 866-267-6024.

Before You Invest in Morgan Dollars, Consider These Points

By , About.com Guide

Morgan Dollars have become very popular as an investment vehicle for coin collectors because they cost a reasonable amount of money to buy, have performed very well in the past as an investment, and are beautiful to behold. But like any investment, you must do your homework first if you expect to come out ahead over dealer profits, inflation, rare coin appreciation in general, and knowing which specimens to buy in particular, to ensure that you don’t take a loss inctead.

Morgan Dollars in General

The first thing you need to keep in mind about Morgan Dollars is that specimens that grade below AU-50 are, as a rule, only worth their silver bullion value. Of course, there are a few exceptions, especially for Morgan Dollars minted at Carson City, but most Morgan Dollars on the market today never circulated as regular coinage. The main reason for this is that the Mint produced hundreds of millions more Morgans during the 1800′s than were needed for circulation, so they sat in vaults.

Most Morgan Dollars Never Circulated

More than half a billion Morgan Dollars were minted between 1878 and 1904, and although nearly 3/4 of these were melted back down before being issued, the majority of the Morgans in the marketplace today didn’t even leave the Mint until 1960. You can learn more about the history of the Morgan Dollar, which makes a fascinating story.

The bottom line is that Morgan Dollars in Uncirculated grades are very, very common, so be aware of this when you go to buy Morgans.

Buy the Book Before You Buy the Coin

One thing that less-than-honest dealers might attempt to do is try to lead you to believe that just because the Morgan Dollar is 60 to 80 years old, the fact that it’s in Mint State makes it very valuable. The truth is that MS-63 specimens for about half the mint/date combinations sell for $35 to $70 each. Telemarketers are getting $350 to $700 for the same coins! Which is the better investment? Obviously, getting the Red Book and learning the true market values of Morgans is critical.

Invest in Only the Highest Grade Morgan Dollars

Because the Morgan Dollar series exists in generally higher grades than most other series, you should invest in only the highest grade specimens. If you can afford to buy Proof Morgans, you should, because those have performed very well over the last fifteen years. The next best investments are the very high grade, MS-65 or better. They are pricey compared to MS-60 to MS-63, but their incredible rarity in the age of encapsulation make them a good investment.

Remember to Consider the Source

Another very important thing to consider when investing in rare coins, including Morgan Dollars, is to consider the source of the grade. The price difference between MS-63 and MS-65 is significant, and not all dealers and grading services have the same grading standards. In fact, coins which are in slabs from PCGS and NGC are worth more than coins in slabs from certain minor grading services, because PCGS and NGC have consistent, exacting, and largely non-subjective standards for grading.

Store Your Morgan Dollars in a Vault You Control

Finally, once you’ve made the informed decision to invest in a given coin, always take delivery of your coins! Don’t fall for dealer assurances that your coins will be kept safe for you. If the dealer cannot produce the individual coin you’re buying, in a major grading company slab, find another dealer. If you don’t have a proper built-in, fireproof vault to store your investments in, put them in a safety deposit box. Always remember that Morgan Dollars can be your future, so don’t lose them.

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