Silver
J&T Coins LLC to carry 2010 1 oz Silver American Eagles NGC MS69 Early Release
by Jim on Mar.04, 2010, under J & T Coins LLC, Silver
J&T Coins LLC is please announce they are now selling 2010 1 oz Silver American Eagles NGC MS69 Early Release.
They sell for $32 each which includes shipping and insurance in the USA. 10 of them sell for $310 with shipping and insurance in the USA included. Click here to order from our website. For larger quanties contact J&T Coins LLC at 866-267-6024.
J&T Coins LLC which started in 2001 is an authorized NGC dealer.
Mint Stats: Mint Hikes Prices for Gold Buffalo, Spouse
by Jim on Mar.04, 2010, under General, Gold, Silver
Mint Stats: Mint Hikes Prices for Gold Buffalo, Spouse
| By Debbie Bradley, Numismatic News March 04, 2010 |
Other News & Articles
- Mint Stats: Mint Hikes Prices for Gold Buffalo, Spouse
- Think Twice Before Cleaning Any of Your Coins
- Disabled Vet Proof Prices Rise
Keep an eye on sales of gold Buffaloes and First Spouse coins in coming weeks, because they’ve seen a price hike.
When gold edged above a $1,100 an ounce average for a week on the London Fix, the Mint increased prices in accordance with its policy to reflect market prices. The change took place Feb. 24.
The price of First Spouse coins increased by $25 and gold Buffaloes by $50. The proof First Spouse coins went from $704 to $729, uncirculated First Spouse coins went from $691 to $716 and 2009 Buffalo gold coins increased from $1,360 to $1,410.
And in its first week of sales, the coin honoring Disabled American Veterans sold more than 98,000 coins, almost one-third of its total mintage of 350,000.
Think Twice Before Cleaning Any of Your Coins-Good Article
by Jim on Mar.04, 2010, under General, Gold, Morgan Silver $1, Platinum & Palladium, Silver
Think Twice Before Cleaning Any of Your Coins
| By Dr. R. S. Bart Bartanowicz, Coins Magazine March 03, 2010 |
Forrest Gump’s words rang in his head, “Stupid is as stupid does.” Our numismatist’s 1945 “micro S” Mercury dime had come back from the grading service as “cleaned.” The dime’s value had been greatly diminished by his less than artful cleaning.He remembered the day of his fateful mistake. The sun was shining, birds were singing and flowers were in bloom. Amid all this loveliness, he was sorting his coins.
He had quite a few Mercury dimes in two-by-two holders. Looking through them, the 1945 “micro S” dime literally leaped out at him.
He had forgotten about this purchase of many years ago. It was a gem coin that he had meant to send off to the grading service. Examining the dime, he was impressed by the luster and wonderful strike.
The only thing wrong was some dark “rim toning” from 3 to 6 o’clock. The toning was a genuine distraction to the rest of the coin.
Examining the coin through his loupe, he saw that the coin had never been cleaned as was evidenced by the luster and lack of hairlines. The dark bluish hue of the rim toning just did not sit well. Without the toning the coin would be stunning.
What to do was his quandary.
The toning would not impact the coin’s high grade, but it would have so much more eye appeal if it were totally white. In his head he heard voices saying “Clean the coin. Clean the coin.”
Cleaning any coin went against the advice he always dispensed to newcomers, which was:
“Don’t clean coins unless you’re willing to suffer the consequences from a botched cleaning.”
It was only a little toning and a quick little swish of a commercial coin cleaner would eliminate it. What could go wrong? To be safe he would experiment with a coin or two from his pocket change to make sure he had his technique down so as not to mar the luster or leave any hairlines.
He had cleaned coins in the past with a simple washing, such as his coffee can purchases of coins deposited in can and jars over the years. He seldom used commercial coin cleaning solutions unless the coins had been badly contaminated with dirt, grease, PVC slime/residue and other foreign matter.
These solutions had been used with inexpensive coins. He considered this to be conservation vs. letting the coins deteriorate due to surface contamination.
He used a cotton ball to apply the cleaner in a gentle blotting motion so as not to create swirl marks or hairlines. Still the toning seemed resistant and stubborn.
As he prepared to blot again he heard the voices: “A little more pressure and rub it just a tiny bit to remove it all.” Now other voices called out to him: “Don’t do it. Don’t do it.”
Snapping back to the present, our numismatist murmured, “just a little rub,” as he applied the cotton. He followed the cleaning with a quick rinse of the coin in water. The toning had disappeared and the coin look wonderful, but perhaps with a sense of foreboding he did not examine the coin under magnification.
Now, weeks later, he had the dreaded results. “Stupid is as stupid does.” He would, of course, be quiet about his failure. Had the coin come back without mention of the cleaning and in the grade he wanted he would have proclaimed himself to be a genius.
The moral to our story is that sometimes things are best left alone. With cleaning coins you need to know what you’re doing.
There are several things along the way one needs to consider before cleaning any coin. The first one is: Why do you want to clean the coin? If it’s because of toning, remember toning is a natural condition that should not affect the grade unless it is covering marks, blemishes etc. Secondly, can you stand looking at a botched job? For instance, a “pink coin” is not attractive. This has been known to happen with copper and bronze pieces.
Thirdly, can you afford to lose the value of your coin if it is damaged in the cleaning? Additionally, get all the advice you can. Discuss the cleaning with a dealer or fellow collector.
There are books that discuss the cleaning of coins and all the pitfalls. Getting educated will help.
Finally, if you have a coin that you are tempted to clean, consider selling or trading in the coin to someone who may appreciate it. There are collectors who actively seek attractively toned coins. This is the preferable route to ruining a coin’s numismatic value.
If after all this you are still intent on cleaning your coin do be careful. Try your cleaning technique on some coins from your pocket change.
Looking over the demographics of the hobby most of us are not chemistry majors. Cleaning, or better said conservation is best left to the professionals.
2010 American Veterans Disabled for Life Silver Dollar Now Available for Pre-Sale
by Jim on Feb.28, 2010, under J & T Coins LLC, Silver
2010 American Veterans Disabled for Life Silver Dollar is now available for sale at the U.S. Mints website. The coin is being offered in both BU and Proof. The total mintage across all product lines is 350,000.
J&T Coins LLC will also offer these for sale on a pre order basis. To order call 866-267-6024. M-F 8:30AM to 5:00PM CST.
Previewing 2010 Boy Scouts Silver Dollar Coins
by Jim on Feb.24, 2010, under General, Silver
Previewing 2010 Boy Scouts Silver Dollar Coins
By Coin Update Staff on February 17th, 2010
Categories: US Coins, United States Mint
This year the United States Mint will issue 2010 Boy Scouts of America Centennial Silver Dollars in commemoration of the 100th anniversary of the founding of the organization. The coins are currently scheduled for release on March 23, 2010.
The commemorative coin program was proposed under H.R. 5872: Boy Scouts of America Centennial Commemorative Coin Act. The bill was introduced by Rep. Peter Sessions of Texas on April 22, 2008. The bill was passed by the House on May 15, 2008, passed by the Senate on September 27, 2008, and signed into law by the President on October 8, 2008, becoming Public Law No: 110-363.
The designs for the 2010 Boy Scouts Silver Dollars were unveiled by the United States Mint on December 17, 2008. The obverse (heads side) of the coin features an image of a Cub Scout, Boy Scout, and female Venturer saluting. The inscription “Continuing the Journey” is included, along with the anniversary dates of the organization “1910″ and “2010″. The reverse (tails side) of the coin features the Boy Scouts of America universal emblem. Inscriptions include “Boy Scouts of America” and the Scout motto “Be Prepared”.
The obverse of the coin was designed by United States Mint Artistic Infusion Program Master Designer Donna Weaver and engraved by United States Mint Sculptor-Engraver Charles Vickers. The reverse was engraved by United States Mint Sculptor-Engraver Jim Licaretz.
The coins are struck in a composition of 90% silver and 10% copper. Each coin has a weight of 26.73 grams and a diameter of 1.5 inches.
The 2010 Boy Scouts Centennial Silver Dollars will be minted in proof and uncirculated versions with a maximum mintage of 350,000 coins across all product options. These coins will be available directly from the United States Mint with sales currently scheduled to begin on March 23, 2010 at 12:00 Noon ET.
Introductory pricing of $33.95 for uncirculated coins and $39.95 for proof coins will be available from March 23, 2010 to April 22, 2010. After this period, regular pricing of $35.95 for uncirculated coins and $43.95 for proof coins will become effective. In general, commemorative coins remain available for sale until the maximum authorized mintage has been sold or a pre-announced date, typically in mid-December.
J&T Coins LLC Now Selling 2010 Mexican Silver Libertads
by Jim on Feb.09, 2010, under J & T Coins LLC, Silver
J&T Coins LLC is now selling the 2010 Silver Mexican Libertads.
These again come in three sizes this year. 1 oz, 2 oz & 5 oz. They are .999 fine silver and are in BU condition.
To order these click here or call J&T Coins LLC at 1-866-267-6024.
Bullion Coins Continue Retreat
by Jim on Feb.05, 2010, under Gold, Platinum & Palladium, Silver
| By Harry Miller, Numismatic News February 02, 2010 |
Other News & Articles
The big story this week is the continued retreat in the precious metals sector and its effect on bullion-related type gold coins. While gold is down about 1 percent, silver and platinum have eroded by 6 to 7 percent and all are near the bottom of the recent trading range. Trading in this area and lack of strong investment buyer demand has hammered many of the premiums on eagles and double eagles of the generic variety. So far there has been little to no effect on better date issues.
Circulated common date Morgan and Peace dollars remain firm at recent levels due to promotional demand and tight supplies. There has been some minor softening in lower grade S-mint Peace dollars starting with the 1924-S followed by the 1927-S and 1928-S with the 1934-S bringing up the rear. With the exception of 1928-S, only the VG to Fine show decreases, typical of the grades that set promoters buy for their mass marketing programs.
While there has been little price change noted, both varieties of the 1879-CC Morgan are showing strong activity. Also the 1889-CC has advanced in MS-60 through MS-63 and was joined by the 1884-S. ably a good buy.
Proof sets and mint sets remain active and demand lead by the 2008 issues is healthy.
Premiums Decline on Older Gold
by Jim on Feb.01, 2010, under General, Gold, Silver
Premiums Decline on Older Gold
| By Harry Miller, Numismatic News January 21, 2010 |
Metals stocks and bullion-related coins seem to be signaling some continued weakness in gold and silver. Gold is hammering away at the lower end of its recent trading range with silver following. Thus far the $1,100 level has held. Platinum while off its high is well above recent levels on continued ETF demand.
Older U.S. eagles and double eagles have again lost premium in the most commonly traded grades and there is definite absence of any aggressive buyers in the market. High-grade and small-size issues are moderately active with some pluses and some minuses. Proof gold American Eagles are quiet with few buyers seeking them at current levels. Proof silver Eagles remain strong and business strike 2010 issues have come down in premium slightly in anticipation of large shipments available next week (about when you receive this issue). Demand remains strong for all silver-related bullion issues.
Type coins remain active with very optimistic reports regarding Seated issues of all denominations with special emphasis on scarcer dates and by variety. There is a continued scarcity of all better date Barber issues especially in grades F-12 to EF-40.
Aggressive buyers go for half cents, large cents and three cents with emphasis on the tiny silver issues, which in my opinion are much underpriced in VF to EF grades.
Historic Hoards Echo in Population Reports
by Jim on Feb.01, 2010, under General, Gold, Morgan Silver $1, Silver
Historic Hoards Echo in Population Reports
| By Paul M. Green, Numismatic News January 07, 2010 |
There have always been some mixed emotions when it comes to hoards. It’s probably natural if you are a collector or dealer to have a concern about hoards and the possibility that one might appear and cause a sharp decline in the price of a coin you own.
The classic instance of that happening occurred to collectors owning 1903-O Morgan dollars back in 1962. They thought that they had a $1,500 coin only to see it fall to $15 seemingly overnight as hundreds of thousands of examples were released by the Treasury.
It would be hard to convince them that hoards are good.
On the other side of the matter, there is the very real fact that a hoard can make a certain coin much more available and at a much more reasonable price than was previously the case. This allows many collectors who otherwise would never have owned something to be able to acquire it.
The discovery of roughly 5,400 examples of the 1857-S Coronet Head double eagle on the sunken wreck of the S.S. Central America made not only the date available, but it also made it possible for many to have a chance to have a Mint State Coronet Head double eagle and one that was produced from the early days of the San Francisco Mint.
Without that recovery of 5,400 examples of the 1857-S from their underwater resting place, the possibilities of owning a nice Mint State double eagle from San Francisco in the 1850s would definitely be reduced and that is just one of many examples.
The discovery, promotion and original sale of hoard coins is just one part of the story. That may be the most exciting part of the story, but after the hoard coins are dispersed, how well do they really hold up in terms of price? In fact, there may be no single answer for the simple reason that there are literally hundreds, if not thousands of hoard coins.
In many cases, we simply do not have a name and story to attach to the numbers of one issue or another that are known today. That is especially true in the case of gold where hundreds and in a few cases even thousands of Mint State coins returned to the United States from primarily European bank vaults in the past half century.
There was no accounting of the numbers, but when you check the numbers seen at grading services today there is absolutely no doubt that there were substantial numbers.
Even in the cases where we know of specific hoards and likely numbers involved, it is unfair to expect that each and every hoard coin will show similar price movements. After all, they are part of a set and a set of large cents is not likely to move in price at the same rate as double eagles or silver dollars or Jefferson nickels. Consequently, we cannot really expect uniform results. That said, there is still a certain question as to just how well hoard coins have done in recent years, not when compared with each other, but perhaps when compared to other non-hoard dates of the same type.
One of the most famous hoards of all was the Randall Hoard. If you have collected large cents for more than three hours you have probably heard of the Randall Hoard. The story may not be quite in tune with the reality, but the fact remains that sometime in the late 1860s in Georgia there was a discovery of a significant number of large cents allegedly in a keg. The precise dates were debated as were an assortment of issues and the story over the years has evolved slightly but we have very solid evidence that five dates were found in some numbers in Mint State in the Randall Hoard.
The two most heavily represented dates were the 1818 and the 1820, with lesser numbers of the 1816, 1817 and 1819. We can say that with some certainty as the numbers of Mint State examples of the dates found at the grading services showed the 1818 having been seen 296 times at the Professional Coin Grading Service and 288 times at Numismatic Guaranty Corp. in Mint State, while the 1820 was seen 267 times at PCGS and 391 times at NGC. In comparison, the lowest numbers for any of the five dates were posted by the 1819, which appeared 81 times at each service. In the case of a date with a similar mintage from the period the combined total at the grading services was basically under 50.
Clearly the 1818 and 1820 are available in significantly higher numbers. Back in 1998 in MS-60 the 1818 was priced at $250 while the 1820 was $275. Today, in the same grade, the 1818 is $270 and the 1820 is at $300. It would appear that the dates are not doing well except for the fact that the large cents of the period in general have moved very little. The 1816 for example was $420 in 1998 and still is $420. Other dates have increased and usually more than the 1818 and 1820, so while perhaps increasing in price at a below average pace, it would be hard to say that the Randall Hoard dates are very different from other dates of the type.
The 1857-S double eagle found in such large numbers on the S.S. Central America, which sank in 1857 off the North Carolina coast, certainly has to be seen as an extreme test in terms of double eagles. It is not simply a case where the numbers are large, but it is also a case where the S.S. Central America is a relatively recent hoard.
The market has had very little time to really absorb what was over $100 million in sales. It is probably too early to expect the 1857-S, which was basically an available date in circulated grades but not a readily available date in Mint State, to show any signs of price increases. In fact, with very serious doubts that there are even 5,400 collectors of Mint State Coronet Head double eagles to absorb the supply, it would not be at all out of the question to expect the 1857-S to show some potentially serious price declines.
If you check the prices for the 1857-S back in 1998 in MS-60 it listed for $2,600 while an MS-63 was $10,000 with no price listed in higher grades. Today in MS-60 the 1857-S is at $4,500 while an MS-65 is at $7,250. It’s a very interesting situation and a somewhat volatile one as prices are all over the board depending on the price guide. The consensus, however, is that in MS-60 the 1857-S seems to have increased in price perhaps as publicity over the sale of the S.S. Central America coins encouraged some to want to acquire a lower cost example of a famous date.
The price decline in MS-63 may well be a case of this grade was actually hurt because there were suddenly significant numbers of higher grade examples. It is definitely an opposite trend from other Coronet Head double eagle dates. The question for the next few years is likely to be not what happens to the MS-60 or MS-63 prices, but rather how does an MS-65 or MS-66 fare at their current levels.
Another recent double eagle was one involving Saint-Gaudens double eagles. Called the Wells Fargo Hoard, the hoard involved 19,900 examples of the 1908 no motto double eagle. The number was extraordinary and so was the quality of the coins. The breakdown given to Q. David Bowers for his book A Guide Book of Double Eagle Gold Coins by Ron Gillio, who purchased the hoard, had 6,000+ in MS-66 with 1,700+ in MS-67.
These high grades were not just wishful thinking by the person buying the hoard. The coins have gone through the major grading services with stunning results. At PCGS, 793 Wells Fargo hoard coins were called MS-67 compared to 38 that were not from the hoard.
At NGC the number of Wells Fargo MS-67 coins was 941 compared to 94 not from the hoard. There were similar numbers in other high grades. The impact of so many top quality examples of a single date almost had to have an impact.
The MS-65 listing of the no motto 1908 back in 1998 was $1,350 and today in MS-65 the price is $2,350. This is the cheapest of the “No Motto” type.
If MS-65 were the top grade available, then there would be considerable pressure on buyers to find and buy an MS-65. The Wells Fargo Hoard, however, has made MS-65 an average grade for this one date. Combined NGC and PCGS have graded over 6,400 Wells Fargo coins as MS-66 and 1,700 more as MS-67. Under the circumstances, buyers will seek those upper grades and not the MS-65 so there are more than just numbers potentially working against the MS-65 price of the “No Motto” 1908.
A dramatically different situation involving gold coins would be the gold dollars of 1879, 1880 and 1881. The three were low mintage, with the 1879 having a mintage of 3,030 while the 1880 was just 1,636 and the 1881 was 7,707. The three should have all been tough dates, but back at the time they were released someone saved examples. In fact. they saved hundreds of each.
We can see evidence in hundreds of each in Mint State reported by both PCGS and NGC. The hoards of the three were not all that well known, although it is a case where relatively few study and collect gold dollars. While we do not know the details of the hoard, we know that hundreds of each of the three dates are known and the MS-60 price of the three back in 1998 saw the 1879 at $700 while the 1880 and 1881 were each at $400. Today in MS-60 the 1879 is $525, the 1880 is $425 and the 1881 is $410.
There is simply no good way to make sense of that change. Ironically, the 1879 which declined the most in price is the least often seen of the three in highest grades, while the 1881 which actually increased in price in the highest Mint State grades has been graded more often than either of the other dates. There is no good way of explaining the changes, but every so often strange things happen in the market and this would have to qualify as one of those times.
If there is such a thing as a blue chip hoard coin, it is ironically a pattern as the 1856 Flying Eagle cent could not have been a coin even though it circulated simply because the law authorizing the Flying Eagle cent was passed in 1857. Over the years, few coins have been hoarded like the 1856, which seemed to always inspire speculation or at minimum a hoarding instinct.
George Rice of Detroit probably won the prize for the largest hoard of the 1856 with his accumulation numbered 756 pieces while close behind was John Andrew Beck of Pittsburgh, whose total included some from the Rice collection, reached 531.
In the case of the 1856 the numbers are small, but the percentage of the total mintage is large. Produced both in proof and also with a small number of business strikes there is no certainty regarding the 1856 mintage although perhaps 1,500 to 2,500 pieces would be a good range. Back in 1998 the 1856 was at $4,000 in G-4 and today that price is $6,250. In MS-65, the 1998 price was $21,000 and today that price is $65,000. Clearly as hoard coins go, the 1856 Flying Eagle cent continues to defy the other patterns by surging strongly to higher prices and in all grades.
There was a great deal of hoarding during the Civil War and some of that even reached down to copper-nickel cents. As a result, small groups of the copper-nickel cent dates have been reported over the years. The largest was discussed by Q. David Bowers in his book American Coin Treasures and Hoards” The group of probably 1,000 Mint State specimens of the 1862 was offered in a Thomas Elder auction in 1918. The group was significant based on the fact that PCGS has seen about 675 Mint State examples of the 1862 while NGC is at roughly 850. The 1998 prices for the 1862 in Mint State were $80 for an MS-60 and $575 for an MS-65. Today those listings are the same for an MS-60 but $1,050 for an MS-65. For a hoard coin that is not heavily publicized, that’s a strong MS-65 increase, although in reality it reflects a general increase in copper-nickel Indian cents prices in MS-65 as all dates have done basically the same thing in terms of price.
One of the more interesting dates that was heavily hoarded was the 1883 without “CENTS” Liberty Head nickel. No particular hoard can be discussed although groups of 100 or more were known. The 1883 without “CENTS” was simply hoarded by many as a new design. It was an unusual time for hoarding, but people then also hoarded the last couple years of the Shield nickel series. We see the proof in the fact that there are thousands of Mint State 1883 without “CENTS” nickels reported at the grading services and that produced 1998 prices of $32 in MS-60 and $300 in MS-65. Today those prices are $25 in MS-60 and $260 in MS-65, so clearly the extremely large numbers reported by the grading services are keeping the price down.
In his book, Bowers reports on the mysterious appearance on the market of hundreds of Mint State 1877-CC quarters in Mint State. It was an odd situation as traditionally there was very little saving of new coins at Carson City and even if there had been, the 1877-CC quarter with a mintage of nearly 4.2 million would have been an odd choice. That said, the observation of Bowers is supported by grading service totals, which show hundreds of examples of the 1877-CC in Mint State.
Since 1998, the 1877-CC which was at $375 in MS-60 has dropped to $325. Interestingly enough, that is still a premium over the most available Mint State Seated Liberty quarter dates of the type. Realistically the 1877-CC is one of those most available dates, but it happens to have a “CC” mintmark, which may be the only thing stopping it from further declines.
There is no doubt there have been a few Lincoln cents that were hoarded. It was reported that John Zug had some 25,000 examples of the 1909-S VDB, although that hoard was allegedly broken up before 1920. There were at least 10 or more rolls that hit the market in the 1950s, but the demand for the 1909-S VDB is so great that such numbers were drops in the bucket when it came to meeting demand.
Since 1998 the 1909-S VDB has gone from $720 in MS-60 and $1,800 in MS-65 to a current $1,825 in MS-60 and $6,850 in MS-65, proving that with enough demand no hoard can keep prices from rising. The situation with the Philadelphia 1909 VDB is slightly different. Its total numbers hoarded were much, much larger. There is solid demand for the 1909 VDB, also. Its 1998 prices of $9 in MS-60 and $39 in MS-65, respectively, have risen to $25 in MS-60 and $195 in MS-65.
A final Lincoln cent worth noting is the 1931-S. With a mintage below 1 million we know the 1931-S was hoarded. We can dispute the numbers hoarded with a Walter Breen claim that the Maurice Scharlack hoard had 200,000 pieces, which would have been about 25 percent of the entire mintage, but there is no doubt the 1931-S was heavily hoarded in Mint State and upper circulated grades. Since 1998 in Mint State the 1931-S has moved from $53 in MS-60 and $215 in MS-65 to a current $163 in MS-60 and $685 in MS-65.
Probably the most famous hoard coin of all time would be the 1950-D Jefferson nickel. We frankly do not know what percentage of its 2,630,030 mintage was hoarded initially, but somewhere on the order of 50 percent or more would be in the ballpark. A.J. Mitula of Houston, Texas, reportedly had 1 million pieces while another 320,000 were reported in Wisconsin and there were others with larger numbers involved.
The 1950-D soared in price during the 1950s and 1960s probably in part because all were tied up in hoards. Then it simply went into a coma, not moving for decades. In 1998 the 1950-D was $6.50 in MS-60 and $9.50 in MS-65. Today it sits at $18 in MS-60 and $30 in MS-65.
It is certainly a mixed bag when it comes to prices of hoard coins. Greater numbers should hold prices down, but a good story or heavy demand for the whole series can still lift prices higher.
Eagle Stampede or Last Gasp for Buyers?
by Jim on Jan.27, 2010, under Buzz with Dave Harper, Silver
Eagle Stampede or Last Gasp for Buyers?
| By David C. Harper, Numismatic News January 21, 2010 |
The U.S. Mint had a good day of sales when the 2010 gold and silver American Eagles became available to the authorized distributors Jan. 19.
Buyers snapped up 2,440,000 silver American Eagles.
Gold American Eagle buyers took 49,000 of the one-ounce coins, only these were divided between old and new dates. The 2010 coins totaled 30,500 and the 2009 total was 18,500.
For a single day, these numbers are huge. Compared to final mintages for last year, they are tiny.
Trying to figure out where we go from here and whether we will get the proof versions back in 2010 and even the “W” mintmarked uncirculated version is basically a bet on whether you believe the Mint will be able to get ahead of the demand curve in the present 12-month period called 2010.
The Austrian Mint, no slouch in the world bullion coin market, said some weeks ago that demand for its gold coins would fall by 30 percent. A similar fall in gold American Eagles would take the 1,386,000 mintage of the 2009 gold Eagles down below a million pieces to 970,200. That would leave more than enough planchets available for any and all collector versions.
A demand decline would also allow the early return to the market of fractional gold American Eagles. In 2009 the market had to wait until December to get them.
Can demand for the silver American Eagles top the 2009 total of 29,134,000 coins?
There is little U.S. historical precedent from which to make a judgment. Look back at the mintages of the 1921 Morgans and 1922 and 1923 Peace dollars and you see mintage numbers of the same order of magnitude.
However, demand for silver dollars then was officially induced as they were replacements for the 270 million coins that were melted under the terms of the 1918 Pittman Act. The Treasury needed them to back Silver Certificates.
By 1928 the official demand ended and Peace dollar mintages were suspended until the economically unsettled years of 1934 and 1935 when President Franklin Roosevelt was trying any and every means to get the economy rolling.
Instead of a renaissance, the 1930s Peace dollar mintages were the last until an abortive 1964 attempt to revive them.
As with gold, any decline in silver Eagle demand in 2010 would hasten the return of the proof and the “W” uncirculated versions this year.
Once collectors have gotten used to the gap in their silver Eagle proof sets where the 2009 coins should be, they likely will climb back on the bandwagon and buy proofs at levels similar to or even higher than before.
Collectors who feel deprived of something often buy in greater numbers at their next opportunity. That could mean loads of silver proof Eagles in 2010.
So back to the results of Jan. 19: however you interpret the numbers, the salient fact is the Mint has generated sales of approximately $100 million in one day. That boggles my mind as I recall 1968 annual proof set sales of just $15 million.

