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- Collecting CC Morgan Dollars… (971)
- Red Spots on coins…very good article (710)
- More on National Gold Exchange Bankruptcy…. (409)
- Redfield Morgan Dollar Hoard Increased Collector Supply (391)
- Don’t be a fool with your gold!!! (371)
- Morgan Dollars and the Pittman Act of 1918 (367)
- US to mint palladium $20 Double Eagle… (305)
- Police Arrest Man Selling Fake Morgan Dollars…. (283)
- Hello and welcome to the J&T Coins LLC blog….. (240)
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- Precious metals for your IRA (221)
- Platinum price forecast for 2010 hiked…. (213)
- National Gold Exchange’s Mark Yaffe could emerge from bankruptcy in March (203)
- Composition of U.S. Gold Coins (195)
- Bullion for your IRA investments… (189)
- National Gold Exchange to Liquidate under Chapter 11? (188)
- Minting the 2010 Olympic Medals (171)
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- Service & Sacrifice: 2010 Silver Dollar to Honor Disabled Vets (154)
- Tungsten and its use in making fake gold (153)
- Coins Proclaim Year of the Tiger (146)
- More on Yaffe and National Gold Exchange (143)
- GSA Carson City Silver Dollars: A History as Tumultuous…. (139)
- Gold price to soar to $1500 in 2010 bull market…. (138)
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- New Lincoln cent rarest in 50 years…. (124)
- Mark Yaffe Done In by His Musical Medley…. (121)
- German Gold Reserves in New York…. (104)
- Liquidation looms for National Gold Exchange (101)
- New Design for 2010 Lincoln Cent? (101)
- 2009 1 oz Silver Chinese Pandas Sell Out (101)
- Bootstrap Error Lincoln Cents in Circulation…. (101)
- US Mint to Start production of 5 oz Bullion Coin with “America the Beautiful Quarter” Designs (99)
- Coin Dealer Julian Leidman Victim of Vehicle Burglary. Reward Grows to $60,500 (91)
- Walking Liberty Half-Dollars – A Brief History (90)
- What impact National Gold Exchange bankruptcy? (90)
- New Design for 2010 Lincoln Cent? (88)
- Invest in Cold Fusion and Palladium…. (84)
- J&T Coins LLC to sell 2009 Fractional Gold American Eagles (84)
- China Battles Domestic Counterfeiters…. (84)
- Mormons victims in $50 million scam to sell gold bullion…. (83)
- Reward in Julian Leidman coin theft grows to nearly $160K (83)
- Walking Liberty Half Dollar Guide to Collecting…. (77)
- Mickey Mouse is golden…. (75)
- 2011 America the Beautiful Quarter Design Candidates (72)
- Nevada mint draws hundreds of riders for Harley coin (71)
- U.S. Mint gold, silver coin sales ‘temporarily suspended’ – again…. (71)
- 1921 Only Year of Denver Morgan Dollar…. (70)
- CFTC Gets Facts of Bullion Manipulation (69)
- Who Owns the Most Gold in the World…. (69)
- J&T Coins to Carry 2009 1 oz Palladium Maple Leaf’s (67)
- Fake Coins Share Certain Surface Characteristics (65)
- Peter D Schiff-Why is Gold Underpriced? (64)
- More On National Gold Exchange…. (61)
- 70th Anniversary of the Premier of the Wizard of Oz (61)
- 2010 Union Shield Lincoln Cent Launch Ceremony (61)
- 2010 American Veterans Disabled for Life Silver Dollar Now Available for Pre-Sale (60)
- Coin News Daily March 31, 2009 (59)
- Coin Bills Awaiting Congress…. (56)
- Coin News Daily Week of April 20th, 2009 (56)
- Auction prices show pause in ’09 results December 31, 2009 (55)
- The Morgan Dollar Holds a Rich History and a Beautiful Design (54)
- Silver is better investment than platinum, palladium (54)
- Get Out of Proof Gold American Eagles… (54)
- What a Run on Gold Looks Like…. (53)
- Another New Design for 2010 Lincoln Cent… (53)
- The Bullion Report May 1, 2009 (52)
- IMF takes up gold sales to expand lending…. (52)
- Common questions we get asked… (51)
- J&T Coins LLC Announces Release of 2010 1 oz Silver UK Britannia (50)
- J&T Coins LLC now selling 2010 Gold & Silver Chinese Pandas (48)
- Inside the Global Gold Frenzy (48)
- 2009 American Buffalo Gold Proof Coin to be Released by U.S. Mint on October 29th (47)
- China to Issue Commemorative Silver and Gold Panda Coins (47)
- Federal Lawsuit Filed Against “Coin Doctors” by Collectors Universe / PCGS (46)
- Popular posts by Top 10 plugin

Wednesday, October 28, 2009
| Inflation poor guide to future coin values Posted by Dave I received an e-newsletter that mentioned inflation and coin prices. Many people believe there is a connection. There really isn’t a direct connection, but to explain can seem more like a word game. Most coin prices depend on average collector incomes and the willingness of these collectors to spend that income on certain coins. Both factors fluctuate or change and inflation plays a role in what people are paid, but the link is not direct. The prices of many coins that were hobby staples in the 1960s simply sat or declined during the 1970s even though active collectors had more money in the 1970s because of inflation. Some coins are still at or below 1960s levels. The nature of collecting was changing. It always does. Attention was redirected to new areas. Morgan dollars really came into their own in the 1970s and built up quite a following right on through the market peak in 1989. Prices nowadays for many of those coins are lower than they were then despite 20 years of inflation. On the other hand, key coins like 1804 dollars and 1913 nickels have actually outpaced inflation as the prestige factor of owning the great rarities helped incite buyers to want to own these numismatic masterpieces. Online registry sets give certain coin prices a nice boost as certain collectors compete to buy the best. This creates a phenomenon where the prices of a couple of coins at the top end of the grading scale go through the roof while those pieces in the more affordable end of the uncirculated scale simply languish despite inflation. A few Lincoln cents that any collector can buy for a dollar or two in BU or proof have brought tens of thousands of dollars because they happen to be the coins pronounced to be the best of the millions or billions that exist. The problem with the great rarities and coins in the very top grades is that almost nobody gets to play in that park. Action in this park makes headlines and creates numismatic history, but it does not help the average coin buyer make any money. Coin buyers who are not guided by their innate interest in collecting specific series or type sets must be able to pick out coins that will appeal to collectors at the future date they will wish to sell and in a grade those future collectors will wish to buy. That isn’t easy. Inflation won’t overcome mistakes. The obvious area to point to today for success is that occupied by gold coins. The price of gold has risen dramatically from the government controlled $35 an ounce that prevailed 1934-1973. Prices for coins valued for their metallic content have soared beyond what inflation would have mandated, even if you go back to 1933. The general price level is up about 12 times since 1934. That would put gold at $420 from its $35 starting point, but whatever number you pick, it seems that gold’s price has outpaced inflation at the moment. So, while inflation is a factor in the eventual price of coins, it is not the only factor. To buy any coin simply on the basis of expected future inflation can easily lead to disappointment if the past is any guide. It is far better to be a collector. Your odds of buying the right coins improve and you have fun doing it. Wednesday, October 28, 2009 1:24:48 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)
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Friday, October 30, 2009
| Collector American Eagles might be likely in 2010 Posted by Dave Collectors are still complaining about the lack of uncirculated “W” mintmarked and proof American Eagle silver coins this year due to the planchet shortage that has plagued the U.S. Mint since the middle of 2007. Next year looks like a far easier time will be had by the U.S. Mint if an Austrian Mint forecast about 2010 is borne out. I was reading Jon Nadler’s posting on the Kitco Web site yesterday. http://www.kitco.com/ind/nadler/oct292009.html#at There he quoted the President of the Austrian Mint, Kurt Meyer, on the topic of how many one-ounce Philharmonic gold bullion coins his institution will produce. Meyer’s forecast is a decline of 32 percent. Since gold does not exist in a vacuum, such a significant decline would likely also be accompanied by a decline in demand for silver American Eagles. Anything approaching a 32 percent decline would free up some 8 million silver planchets, a number large enough to accommodate any likely demand for the collector version of the silver American Eagle. Will it happen? Business forecasts are just that. But a forecast from an institution with the experienced staff of the Austrian Mint certainly has a far higher probability of being correct than those made by many other prognosticators one finds active today. So, the one-year gap in the American Eagle series will be the focus of questions that will be sent to Coin Clinic by newcomers for the next 50 years much as they ask why there is a much longer gap in Morgan dollar production that stretched from the years after 1904 until production resumed in 1921. Friday, October 30, 2009 1:19:02 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)
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Monday, October 26, 2009
| Chronicles set ships rapidly Posted by DaveReports are beginning to reach me from my readers that they have received the Lincoln Coin and Chronicles set from the U.S. Mint. Rob Birnbaum e-mailed me, “Received it by Saturday. I like it and it was worth the time I spent ordering it.” Nothing will overcome the memory of the ordering delays of Oct. 15 faster than rapid delivery of the coins. The standard posted delivery date for the early orders was Oct. 30, so collectors will be pleased to get the sets ahead of time. It certainly won’t hurt that secondary market prices are far higher than issue price of $55.95. Harv Laser has been looking at the secondary market and he e-mailed me his findings. “Highest price I can find in eBay closed auctions is still $349.95 from 15 October, 2009. Second highest is $299.99 from yesterday (Oct. 21), he wrote. “I haven’t seen any show up in dealer print ads yet, but I haven’t gotten your latest issue yet.” Perhaps having a few problems ordering isn’t all bad. It enhances that sense of triumph among collectors after all is said and done. Perhaps what the Braille Education Set needs are simulated order delays that would be noticed quickly by collectors. |
What kind of shape are we in?
Posted by Dave
What condition is the numismatic hobby/industry in? Numismatic News staff is preparing a State of the Industry issue that will go into the mail in the middle of November.
It is important to obtain a wide variety of evaluations from the people on the ground: the collectors and dealers who make it all work.
I would like this blog to serve as a personal invitation to you to send me an e-mail with your assessment.
I have a list of questions you can choose from. You can answer any or all of them, or direct your comments to some issue that is not even mentioned.
In a way it is a free-for-all. Don’t hold back. The rest of us might discover that what’s on your mind should be our concern as well.
Here are the questions:
1. What were your successes in 2009?
2. Where do you expect to find your opportunities in 2010?
3. How do you expect the overall 2010 market to compare to 2009?
4. What would give you the biggest boost in 2010?
5. What is your biggest concern for 2010?
6. Has the hot bullion market helped or hurt you? Why?
7. Will your clients be in a buying mood in 2010?
8. What will your clients be most interested in buying in 2010?
9. What are the effects of tight credit?
10. What action can hobby papers take to give you a boost?
To personalize it, let us know how long you have been active in the hobby. E-mail a photo if you like. Photos always improve any presentation. If you only feel like writing a couple of lines, you can do that to.
E-mail me at david.harper@fwmedia.com. Or post your comments here on the blog.
Thank you.
| Gold rides emotional wave, to stay above $1000 | |
| LONDON (Commodity Online): What is happening to gold? Is every investor in the world buying gold dumping equity and other commodities? Why the mad rush to buy gold even at a rate above $1000 per ounce?
These are questions that haunt market analysts for the past one year. Still there seems no end to the crave for gold among buyers. Indians, who normally stay away from gold when the prices are above Rs 15,000 per 10 gm, bought 56 tonnes of gold during the Diwali week, throwing recession blues to the wind. Then investors thought after Diwali, the main occasion for Indians to buy gold, the gold prices will come down and the demand for the yellow metal will ease. No way! Things are back to square one with more and more people rushing to buy the yellow metals whereas the supply is not matching the demand. Net long non-commercial and non-reportable positions on COMEX, a proxy for investor flows, rose to an all-time high of 27.58 million ounces at the end of September, according to the World Gold Council. And it is no longer only the exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which pushed prices up in 2008, piling in. Quantity of gold that ETFs have added in the past few months has stayed fairly constant. While gold ETFs added 440 tonnes in the first quarter of 2009, the amount added since then has dropped to 29 tonnes. The high price of gold is being supported by the weak dollar and aided by speculation about its future as the first-choice reserve currency for trading commodities such as oil. Fears about inflation next year are helping, too, although neither of these is enough to explain fully its popularity. The gold spot price rose much more quickly than US inflation expectations for the next five years in September. Analysts believe that the price will stay around the $1,000 mark on average for the next few years. However, supply should not be constrained in the near future. Although output in South Africa, the world’s biggest gold producer for most of the past century, has slowed, China has come forward to take its place. The burgeoning scrap market should also ensure that there are few supply problems in the short term. At the same time, physical demand for gold is low. The appetite for gold jewellery has slowed around the world, with America particularly badly hit, and it is unlikely to pick up until prices fall substantially. Sentiment is playing a key role in boosting the price of gold, which might be useful for a short-term trade but not for a long-term play at the moment.. |
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Platinum demand soars in China
27/10/09
| Platinum demand soars in China | |
| BEIJING (Commodity Online): In China platinum is taking big strides with the demand for the metal rising even in remote areas.
Higher sales are being fueled by holiday-related jewellery sales and for bridal rings, which were helped by 2009 being considered an auspicious year for getting married and an increasing desire for platinum. Platinum jewellery sales in China increased by more than 400,000 ounces, compared to the same period in 2008, largely in response to lower platinum prices, but also given the reduced premium over gold. This market response highlights the strength of platinum jewellery branding and the different nature of Chinese platinum jewellery demands, as economic conditions continue to depress jewellery sales in most Western markets. The Chinese market is unsaturated, and the number of retail outlets continues to grow. The strong growth in platinum jewellery demand is supported by statistics published by the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which show that the total volume of platinum sold in the first half of the year was up 81 percent over the same period last year. The majority of the sales were in the jewelry category. Platinum prices have held steady to date, providing an opportunity for further growth in platinum jewellery demand. Increased sales have been helped additionally by new store openings and manufacturers holding larger working stocks to meet increased demand. The second half of 2009 is expected to deliver higher levels of spending, including increases in gift jewelry and bridal jewelry purchases. Chinese people see 2009 as an auspicious year for marriage, since the number nine implies forever love. It is estimated that more than 10 million couples tie the knot each year in China. According to China Wedding Registry, 10.5 million couples registered their marriage in 2008, a 10.6 per cent increase in year-on-year growth. It is estimated that marriages will see 6 per cent growth to 11.5 million marriages in 2009, and that marriages will number 11.82 million in 2010. Since 2000, China has been the world’s largest consumer market for platinum jewellery. Sales increases were reported to be strong in both first- and second-tier cities. Festive occasions have become major drivers of sales for consumer products, and jewellery is no exception.. |
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Silver to soar above $20?
27/10/09
| Silver to soar above $20? | |
| LONDON (Commodity Online): In the melee over gold, silver is being ignored by several investors. This fact has now come to light and many people are slowly showing interest in putting their money in silver which is giving big returns for the past few months.
The silver spot price had touched $17.80 an ounce before dropping to $17.10 on Monday. According to analysts, this was a long-awaited correction in silver prices. Silver has been tracking gold’s rally on an ever-weakening dollar. And the downward pressure on dollar is expected to continue as long as the Fed keeps up its low-interest rate. Signs of global economic recovery are also having an effect on the dollar and precious metals prices and that trend is sure to continue. While gold is up 21 per cent this year, silver has soared 56 per cent. However, despite outperforming gold, silver still remains undervalued compared to gold. When gold first hit $1,000 an ounce, silver was trading above $20 compared to the $17 range now. Investment demand for silver is robust. Silver’s industrial status and its close ties to copper will keep the metal on the rise. Silver has also benefited from rising industrial demand along with copper, which reached a 13-month high on Monday. Strong appetite from Asia is helping to support prices of copper and its other base metal cousins. Many analysts are forecasting further dollar declines and continued optimism over global economic recovery, which will in turn boost precious metal and base metal prices. Of course, silver stands to benefit immensely from this scenario, given its dual nature as both precious and industrial commodity. All commodity prices will rise, gold, silver, copper and even cotton, said Jim Rogers speaking Friday at the Global Economic Revival and Chinese Capital Market Summit Forum. After the recent sharp price rises, silver may go up to $20 an ounce in 2010. Silver mining stocks are benefiting from rising silver spot prices.. |
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